Katie Boulter vs Peyton StearnsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇬🇧Katie Boulter
#54 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 1–6
🇺🇸Peyton Stearns
#37 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
3Katie Boulter and Peyton Stearns have met 3 times since 2023; Peyton Stearns leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at ATX Open - Austin in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Stearns leads 3–0. Stearns has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Boulter has taken 1 sets to Stearns's 6. Their most recent meeting: Peyton Stearns won at Miami Open - Miami (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Boulter | Stearns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katie Boulter | Peyton Stearns | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 15/42 | 35% | 17/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 11/24 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 7/17 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 6/10 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 19/24 | 85% | 23/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 13/24 | 70% | 19/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Boulter 0, Stearns 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Boulter
💥 Big Hitter
Stearns
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Katie Boulter and Peyton Stearns are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 19, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 2, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 27, 2023
ATX Open - Austin
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Boulter | Stearns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Katie Boulter | Peyton Stearns | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 50% | 7/14 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Boulter | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 3.03 | 1.76 |
| ROI % | -36.1% | -15.9% |
| Units P/L | -2.89u | -2.22u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Boulter | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 8,184 mi · 13,171 km |
| Route | ROU | UKR → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Boulter has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Stearns's 25%).
| Opponent | Boulter | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Viktorija Golubic | W 62 62 | L 46 63 36 |
| Clara Tauson | W | L 67 61 57 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 67 67 | L 06 57 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | L 63 26 26 | W 76 75 |
| Kimberly Birrell | W 75 76 | L 57 06 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 61 63 | L 46 57 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 06 57 | L 36 36 |
| Taylor Townsend | W 64 62 | W 76 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Mai Hontama
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Karolina Muchova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Carol Young Suh Lee
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Katie Volynets
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Kayla Cross
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Ashlyn Krueger
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Han Shi
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Viktorija Golubic
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Iva Jovic
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Final
Sep 19
Liudmila Samsonova
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Semifinals
Sep 19
Sloane Stephens
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Diane Parry
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 2nd Round
Sep 15
Emiliana Arango
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 13
Harriet Dart
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–48 matches
| Metric | Boulter | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 52% |
| Sets won | 49% | 54% |
| Games won | 49% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Boulter | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Boulter | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
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