Katie Boulter vs Peyton StearnsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇬🇧Katie Boulter
#60 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 1–6
🇺🇸Peyton Stearns
#54 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
Katie Boulter and Peyton Stearns have met 3 times since 2023; Peyton Stearns leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at ATX Open - Austin in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Stearns leads 3–0. Stearns has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Boulter has taken 1 sets to Stearns's 6. Their most recent meeting: Peyton Stearns won at Miami Open - Miami (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Boulter | Stearns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katie Boulter | Peyton Stearns | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 12/20 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 15/40 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 10/22 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 8/17 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 6/9 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 18/23 | 90% | 18/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 12/23 | 75% | 15/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Boulter 0, Stearns 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Boulter
🤖 Servebot
Stearns
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Katie Boulter and Peyton Stearns are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,026 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 19, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 2, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 27, 2023
ATX Open - Austin
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Boulter | Stearns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Katie Boulter | Peyton Stearns | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Boulter | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.26 | 1.75 |
| ROI % | +3.4% | -35.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.31u | -3.22u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Boulter | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 1,228 mi · 1,977 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | ECU → CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Boulter has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Stearns's 33%).
| Opponent | Boulter | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Katie Volynets | W 75 06 64 | L 46 62 36 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 67 67 | L 06 57 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | L 63 26 26 | W 76 75 |
| Kimberly Birrell | W 75 76 | L 57 06 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 61 63 | L 46 57 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 06 57 | L 36 36 |
| Taylor Townsend | W 64 62 | W 76 75 |
| Viktorija Golubic | W 62 62 | W 76 64 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 16 36 | L 16 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Katie Volynets
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Kayla Cross
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Ashlyn Krueger
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Tyra Caterina Grant
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Leylah Fernandez
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 21
Donna Vekic
The HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals
Jun 13
Elena Rybakina
The HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Clara Tauson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Harriet Dart
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Elena Gabriela Ruse
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Elvina Kalieva
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Tatiana Prozorova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mary Stoiana
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Nikola Bartunkova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Kimberly Birrell
Eastbourne
Jun 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–40 matches
| Metric | Boulter | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 51% |
| Sets won | 49% | 53% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Boulter | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Boulter | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
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