Katerina Siniakova vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ฟKaterina Siniakova
#39 ยท 30 yrs ยท Right-Handed
1 meeting ยท sets 0โ2

๐ช๐ธPaula Badosa
#83 ยท 28 yrs ยท Right-Handed
5wKaterina Siniakova and Paula Badosa have met 1 time since 2026; Paula Badosa leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Siniakova has taken 0 sets to Badosa's 2. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Siniakova | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katerina Siniakova | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 16/20 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 12/39 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 12/24 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 10/14 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 4/9 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 16/19 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 84% | 16/19 | 78% | 18/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Siniakova 0, Badosa 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Siniakova
๐น Frontrunner
Badosa
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐น Frontrunner vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Feb 16, 2026
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Siniakova | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Katerina Siniakova | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 35% | 6/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Siniakova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4โ4 | 13โ4 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | -20.9% | +18.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.67u | +3.09u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Siniakova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 1 | โ |
| Matches | 2 | โ |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | โ |
| Route | POL | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Siniakova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Badosa's 50%).
| Opponent | Siniakova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Panna Udvardy | W 61 62 | W 64 61 |
| Simona Waltert | W 64 76 | W 75 75 |
| Suzan Lamens | W 61 75 | W 63 62 |
| Marie Bouzkova | L 67 36 | L 63 36 46 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 64 67 57 | L 46 26 |
| Iva Jovic | W 75 63 | L 26 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Madison Keys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Nikola Bartunkova
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Qinwen Zheng
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Liudmila Samsonova
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg ยท 1st Round
Jun 21
Jessica Pegula
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin ยท 2nd Round
Jun 17
Rebeka Masarova
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Yue Yuan
Berlin
Jun 15
Mayar Sherif
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Panna Udvardy
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg ยท 2nd Round
Jul 23
Katarzyna Kawa
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg ยท 1st Round
Jul 22
Tamara Zidansek
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi ยท Semifinals
Jul 18
Panna Udvardy
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alevtina Ibragimova
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi ยท 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anhelina Kalinina
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Simona Waltert
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท Final
Jul 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 39โ39 matches
| Metric | Siniakova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 59% |
| Sets won | 53% | 59% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Siniakova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Siniakova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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