Karen Khachanov vs Shintaro MochizukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Karen Khachanov and Shintaro Mochizuki have met 2 times since 2025; Karen Khachanov leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2025 on grass. Khachanov has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Khachanov has taken 5 sets to Mochizuki's 3. Their most recent meeting: Karen Khachanov won at Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Khachanov | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karen Khachanov | Shintaro Mochizuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 8/16 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 9/19 | 43% | 15/35 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | 45% | 25/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 21% | 6/28 | 23% | 6/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 5/7 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 26% | 5/19 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 12/17 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 47% | 8/17 | 52% | 11/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Khachanov 0, Mochizuki 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Khachanov
🤖 Servebot
Mochizuki
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 62% vs 🧱 The Wall across 266 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Karen Khachanov.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 17, 2026
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 2, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Khachanov | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Karen Khachanov | Shintaro Mochizuki | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 84% | 16/19 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 42% | 8/19 |
| 5 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 21% | 4/19 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 5/15 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Khachanov | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 10–11 |
| Avg odds | 1.94 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | +12.5% | -23.6% |
| Units P/L | +1.62u | -4.96u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Khachanov | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 4 |
| Matches | 5 | 7 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 3,937 mi · 6,336 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Khachanov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Mochizuki's 33%).
| Opponent | Khachanov | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Bonzi | W 63 62 64 | L 46 75 36 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 46 67 | L 16 46 57 |
| Ethan Quinn | L 61 46 46 | W 62 76 75 |
| Billy Harris | W 63 57 63 63 | L 67 36 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 67 63 36 46 | W 63 63 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 46 64 63 57 63 | L 36 63 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Adrian Mannarino
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Arthur Fery
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Felix Auger-Aliassime
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Roman Safiullin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Taro Daniel
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Jaime Faria
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Martin Damm
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Pavel Kotov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Linang Xiao
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Jakub Mensik
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–63 matches
| Metric | Khachanov | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 40% |
| Sets won | 54% | 43% |
| Games won | 53% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Khachanov | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Khachanov | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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