Karen Khachanov vs Shintaro MochizukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Karen Khachanov and Shintaro Mochizuki have met 2 times since 2025; Karen Khachanov leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2025 on grass. Khachanov has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Khachanov has taken 5 sets to Mochizuki's 3. Their most recent meeting: Karen Khachanov won at Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Khachanov | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karen Khachanov | Shintaro Mochizuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 42% | 5/12 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 53% | 17/32 | 43% | 21/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 15% | 4/26 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 4/6 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 18% | 3/17 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 57% | 8/14 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 36% | 5/14 | 52% | 11/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Khachanov 0, Mochizuki 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Khachanov
🤖 Servebot
Mochizuki
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs 🧱 The Wall across 386 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Karen Khachanov.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 17, 2026
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 2, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Khachanov | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Karen Khachanov | Shintaro Mochizuki | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 53% | 9/17 |
| 5 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 29% | 5/17 |
| 10 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Khachanov | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 12–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | 2.70 |
| ROI % | -59.0% | +17.4% |
| Units P/L | -4.13u | +3.47u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Khachanov | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 145 mi · 233 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Khachanov and Mochizuki posted a 43% win rate.
| Opponent | Khachanov | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Bernard Tomic | L 26 46 | W 61 64 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 63 64 64 | L 36 36 |
| Ethan Quinn | L 61 46 46 | W 62 76 75 |
| Billy Harris | W 63 57 63 63 | L 67 36 |
| Casper Ruud | L 16 61 26 | L 64 16 16 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 67 63 36 46 | W 63 63 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 46 64 63 57 63 | L 36 63 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Terence Atmane
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Flavio Cobolli
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Yannick Hanfmann
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Billy Harris
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Ethan Quinn
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Jesper de Jong
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Soon Woo Kwon
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Fabian Marozsan
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Hayato Matsuoka
Vancouver Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Charles Broom
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Liam Draxl
Winnipeg Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 25
Johannus Monday
Winnipeg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Duncan Chan
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Philip Sekulic
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–55 matches
| Metric | Khachanov | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 40% |
| Sets won | 49% | 45% |
| Games won | 51% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Khachanov | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Khachanov | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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