Juncheng Shang vs Mattia BellucciPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Juncheng Shang and Mattia Bellucci have met 1 time since 2025; Mattia Bellucci leads 1–0. Across all meetings Shang has taken 1 sets to Bellucci's 3. Their most recent meeting: Mattia Bellucci won at US Open (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shang | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juncheng Shang | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 3/5 | 71% | 25/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 2/8 | 33% | 9/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 4/13 | 31% | 19/62 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 3/8 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 20% | 1/5 | 61% | 19/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 2/4 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 4/6 | 86% | 30/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 3/6 | 71% | 25/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shang
💥 Big Hitter
Bellucci
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 26, 2025
US Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shang | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juncheng Shang | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 5 or more | 44% | 4/9 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 29% | 5/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shang | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–6 | 10–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.66 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | -20.8% | -10.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.87u | -1.84u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shang | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 10 |
| Distance | 947 mi · 1,524 km | 927 mi · 1,492 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bellucci has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Shang's 20%).
| Opponent | Shang | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Baez | W 57 63 75 | L 57 36 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 64 16 46 | L 62 46 26 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | L 36 36 | W 64 16 75 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 16 67 | W 76 61 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 67 26 36 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sebastian Baez
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Marco Trungelliti
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Andrey Rublev
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 2
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alexandre Muller
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Elias Ymer
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · Final
Oct 4
Yanki Erel
Jingshan Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Adam Walton
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Alexandre Muller
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Keisuke Saitoh
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 16–66 matches
| Metric | Shang | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | 55% |
| Sets won | 40% | 53% |
| Games won | 47% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shang | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shang | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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