Juan Pablo Varillas vs Mili PoljicakPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Juan Pablo Varillas and Mili Poljicak have met 1 time since 2026; Mili Poljicak leads 1–0. Across all meetings Varillas has taken 0 sets to Poljicak's 2. Their most recent meeting: Mili Poljicak won at San Marino Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pablo Varillas | Poljicak | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Pablo Varillas | Mili Poljicak | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 26/36 | 71% | 27/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 8/27 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 18/63 | 31% | 18/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 6/17 | 55% | 23/42 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 91% | 10/11 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 10/23 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 89% | 34/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 26/38 | 71% | 27/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pablo Varillas 0, Poljicak 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Poljicak
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 458 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mili Poljicak.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 1, 2026
San Marino Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Varillas | Poljicak | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juan Pablo Varillas | Mili Poljicak | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Varillas | Poljicak |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | +49.5% | -15.5% |
| Units P/L | +3.47u | -2.17u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Varillas | Poljicak |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | SMR | SMR → SLO → GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Varillas and Poljicak posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Varillas | Poljicak |
|---|---|---|
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | L 36 67 | L 16 46 |
| Lucca Guercio | W 63 61 | W 64 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Timofey Skatov
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Maestrelli
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jacopo Vasami
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Bogota Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Luis Carlos Alvarez
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Bruno Fernandez
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Max Schoenhaus
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 24
Sebastian Dominko
M25 Slovenj Gradec · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Vaal Urankar
M25 Slovenj Gradec · 1st Round
Aug 18
Facundo Diaz Acosta
San Marino Challenger · Final
Aug 2
Juan Pablo Varillas
San Marino Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Alexandre Muller
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Nikoloz Basilashvili
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Enrico Dalla Valle
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–63 matches
| Metric | Varillas | Poljicak |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 66% |
| Sets won | 56% | 62% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Varillas | Poljicak |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Varillas | Poljicak |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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