Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Thiago MonteiroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Thiago Monteiro have met 4 times since 2021; Thiago Monteiro leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Cordoba Open - Cordoba in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Monteiro leads 3–1. Monteiro has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Cerundolo has taken 5 sets to Monteiro's 7. Their most recent meeting: Thiago Monteiro won at Movistar Chile Open - Santiago (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Manuel Cerundolo | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 21/34 | 58% | 19/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 44% | 24/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 7/17 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 8/17 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 27/30 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 21/30 | 59% | 19/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Manuel Cerundolo 0, Monteiro 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cerundolo
💥 Big Hitter
Monteiro
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,249 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 25, 2025
Movistar Chile Open - Santiago
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 10, 2024
Buenos Aires
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 17, 2023
Santa Fe 2 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 26, 2021
Cordoba Open - Cordoba
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cerundolo | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 77% | 13/17 |
| 5 or more | 59% | 10/17 | 41% | 7/17 |
| 10 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–8 | 15–7 |
| Avg odds | 3.04 | 1.64 |
| ROI % | -7.6% | +7.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.06u | +1.66u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km | 673 mi · 1,083 km |
| Route | CHN | POL → ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Cerundolo and Monteiro posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Cerundolo | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Marco Trungelliti | L 26 16 | W 64 36 63 |
| Gustavo Heide | W 64 63 | L 46 36 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | W 64 63 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carlos Alcaraz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Nicolas Mejia
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Bu Yunchaokete
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Yi Zhou
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Arthur Gea
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Sebastian Baez
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Elmer Moller
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Mika Petkovic
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Szczecin Challenger · Final
Sep 20
Marco Trungelliti
Szczecin Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Diego Dedura
Szczecin Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Vitaliy Sachko
Szczecin Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Stefano Travaglia
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Tulln Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–63 matches
| Metric | Cerundolo | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 61% |
| Sets won | 54% | 58% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cerundolo | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cerundolo | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
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