Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Thiago MonteiroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Juan Manuel Cerundolo
#51 · 24 yrs · L
34 meetings · sets 5–7
🇧🇷Thiago Monteiro
#275 · 32 yrs · L
4wJuan Manuel Cerundolo and Thiago Monteiro have met 4 times since 2021; Thiago Monteiro leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Cordoba Open - Cordoba in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Monteiro leads 3–1. Monteiro has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Cerundolo has taken 5 sets to Monteiro's 7. Their most recent meeting: Thiago Monteiro won at Movistar Chile Open - Santiago (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Manuel Cerundolo | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 22/36 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 8/21 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 22/57 | 40% | 19/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 5/14 | 40% | 12/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 12/15 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 9/18 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 29/33 | 80% | 20/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 22/33 | 64% | 16/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Manuel Cerundolo 0, Monteiro 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cerundolo
💥 Big Hitter
Monteiro
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 25, 2025
Movistar Chile Open - Santiago
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 10, 2024
Buenos Aires
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 17, 2023
Santa Fe 2 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 26, 2021
Cordoba Open - Cordoba
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cerundolo | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 63% | 10/16 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.79 | 1.84 |
| ROI % | +57.4% | -20.0% |
| Units P/L | +8.04u | -1.40u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 562 mi · 905 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | SMR → GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Monteiro's 25%).
| Opponent | Cerundolo | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Buse | L 67 64 26 | L 67 46 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | W 64 63 | W 63 62 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 64 64 | L 46 76 06 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 16 36 | L 57 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Arthur Rinderknech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Mark Lajal
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Casper Ruud
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Hamad Medjedovic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Marco Trungelliti
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 21
Tom Gentzsch
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Vilius Gaubas
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Andrea Pellegrino
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
David Jorda Sanchis
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Philip Henning
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Dylan Dietrich
Gstaad
Jul 12
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Gstaad
Jul 11
Pol Martin Tiffon
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
May 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–63 matches
| Metric | Cerundolo | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 53% |
| Sets won | 57% | 53% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cerundolo | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cerundolo | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
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