Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇴Johan Alexander Rodriguez
#827 · 22 yrs · R
5w2 meetings · sets 2–2
🇧🇷Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
#254 · 25 yrs · R
4Johan Alexander Rodriguez and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at San Miguel de Tucuman Challenger in 2026 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Rodriguez has taken 2 sets to Almeida's 2. Their most recent meeting: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida won at Quito Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alexander Rodriguez | Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Johan Alexander Rodriguez | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 6/8 | 72% | 31/43 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 3/9 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 5/17 | 35% | 24/68 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 29% | 2/7 | 45% | 18/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 2/3 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 2/5 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 6/9 | 84% | 38/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 6/9 | 69% | 31/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alexander Rodriguez 1, Pucinelli De Almeida 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rodriguez
🪃 Counterpuncher
Almeida
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,935 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 30, 2026
Quito Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 12, 2026
San Miguel de Tucuman Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rodriguez | Almeida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Johan Alexander Rodriguez | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 82% | 23/28 |
| 3 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 36% | 10/28 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 11% | 3/28 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/28 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/28 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/28 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rodriguez | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–3 | 16–6 |
| Avg odds | 3.02 | 1.75 |
| ROI % | +18.2% | +11.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.27u | +2.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rodriguez | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 7 |
| Distance | — | 454 mi · 731 km |
| Route | — | GER → GBR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Almeida has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Rodriguez's 57%).
| Opponent | Rodriguez | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Ribeiro | W 06 64 64 | W 61 64 |
| Alan Magadan | L 57 57 | W 61 67 64 |
| Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | L 26 36 | W 67 63 61 |
| Matias Soto | L 67 16 | W 61 61 |
| Nicolas Kicker | W 63 64 | L 46 63 46 |
| Wilson Leite | W 75 63 | W 60 75 |
| Donald Nikolas Stoot | W 75 61 | W 61 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elijah Strode
M15 Huamantla · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jacob Brumm
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alan Magadan
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 6
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Quito Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Matias Soto
Asuncion Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
San Miguel de Tucuman Challenger · Final
Jun 14
Nicolas Kicker
San Miguel de Tucuman Challenger · Semifinals
Jun 13
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
San Miguel de Tucuman Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Oliver Tarvet
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Oliver Tarvet
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Peter Makk
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Jan Kumstat
Hamburg Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 15
Dylan Dietrich
Hamburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Max Schoenhaus
Hamburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Florian Broska
Hamburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 17–68 matches
| Metric | Rodriguez | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 63% |
| Sets won | 49% | 61% |
| Games won | 49% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rodriguez | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rodriguez | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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