Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇴Johan Alexander Rodriguez
#844 · 23 yrs · R
2 meetings · sets 2–2
🇧🇷Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
#255 · 25 yrs · R
Johan Alexander Rodriguez and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at San Miguel de Tucuman Challenger in 2026 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Rodriguez has taken 2 sets to Almeida's 2. Their most recent meeting: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida won at Quito Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alexander Rodriguez | Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Johan Alexander Rodriguez | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 8/10 | 72% | 33/46 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 4/11 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 6/21 | 35% | 25/71 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 4/9 | 50% | 22/44 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 3/4 | 85% | 11/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 2/5 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 8/12 | 87% | 40/46 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 8/12 | 72% | 33/46 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alexander Rodriguez 1, Pucinelli De Almeida 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rodriguez
🪃 Counterpuncher
Almeida
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Johan Alexander Rodriguez.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 30, 2026
Quito Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 12, 2026
San Miguel de Tucuman Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rodriguez | Almeida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Johan Alexander Rodriguez | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
| 1 or more | 60% | 3/5 | 80% | 16/20 |
| 3 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 35% | 7/20 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 5% | 1/20 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rodriguez | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–2 | 14–8 |
| Avg odds | 3.52 | 1.86 |
| ROI % | -18.8% | +0.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.94u | +0.05u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rodriguez | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 835 mi · 1,344 km |
| Route | — | ARG → BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Almeida has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Rodriguez's 67%).
| Opponent | Rodriguez | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Ribeiro | W 06 64 64 | W 61 64 |
| Alan Magadan | L 57 57 | W 61 67 64 |
| Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | L 26 36 | W 67 63 61 |
| Nicolas Kicker | W 63 64 | L 46 63 46 |
| Wilson Leite | W 75 63 | W 60 75 |
| Donald Nikolas Stoot | W 75 61 | W |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jonah Braswell
M15 Fayetteville · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Alejandro Melero Kretzer
M15 Fayetteville · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Jerry Roddick
M15 Fayetteville · 1st Round
Sep 30
Botic van de Zandschulp
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NED-COL 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Elijah Strode
M15 Huamantla · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jacob Brumm
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alan Magadan
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 6
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Quito Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Antofagasta Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Antofagasta Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Alex Barrena
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Tomas Barrios Vera
Curitiba Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Curitiba Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Hugo Dellien
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Remy Bertola
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, BRA-SUI 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 21–71 matches
| Metric | Rodriguez | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 65% |
| Sets won | 50% | 62% |
| Games won | 49% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rodriguez | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rodriguez | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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