Joao Fonseca vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Joao Fonseca and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 2 times since 2025; Joao Fonseca leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, GRE-BRA 1-3 in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Fonseca leads 2–0. Fonseca has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Fonseca has taken 4 sets to Tsitsipas's 1. Their most recent meeting: Joao Fonseca won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fonseca | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Joao Fonseca | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 15/20 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 7/12 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 12/32 | 27% | 11/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 6/9 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 18/20 | 92% | 23/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 15/20 | 76% | 19/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fonseca 1, Tsitsipas 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fonseca
💥 Big Hitter
Tsitsipas
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 5, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 14, 2025
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, GRE-BRA 1-3
H Hard · Rubber 4
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fonseca | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Joao Fonseca | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 10 or more | 22% | 2/9 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fonseca | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | -21.7% | -8.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.95u | -1.28u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fonseca | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fonseca has a higher win rate against shared opponents (89% vs Tsitsipas's 44%).
| Opponent | Fonseca | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 64 76 | L 46 67 |
| Casper Ruud | W 76 63 | L 76 67 67 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 76 64 | W 64 67 63 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 63 62 | W 63 36 63 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 75 36 46 | W 64 64 |
| Novak Djokovic | W 46 46 63 75 75 | L 36 46 26 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 76 63 | W 64 76 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 64 36 62 | L 63 67 46 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W 57 64 63 | L 26 63 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Botic van de Zandschulp
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 10
Casper Ruud
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Stefanos Tsitsipas
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Jesper de Jong
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Roberto Bautista Agut
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Yannick Hanfmann
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Jenson Brooksby
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Valentin Royer
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Martin Damm
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex de Minaur
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Final
Jul 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–46 matches
| Metric | Fonseca | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 57% |
| Sets won | 61% | 57% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fonseca | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fonseca | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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