Joao Fonseca vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Joao Fonseca and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 2 times since 2025; Joao Fonseca leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, GRE-BRA 1-3 in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Fonseca leads 2–0. Fonseca has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Fonseca has taken 4 sets to Tsitsipas's 1. Their most recent meeting: Joao Fonseca won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fonseca | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Joao Fonseca | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 13/18 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 64% | 7/11 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 12/29 | 27% | 13/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 11/21 | 50% | 17/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 5/8 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 10/15 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 15/17 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 77% | 24/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fonseca 1, Tsitsipas 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fonseca
💥 Big Hitter
Tsitsipas
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 5, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 14, 2025
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, GRE-BRA 1-3
H Hard · Rubber 4
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fonseca | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Joao Fonseca | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 3/4 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 2/4 | 95% | 19/20 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 2/4 | 80% | 16/20 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 25% | 5/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 15% | 3/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fonseca | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–1 | 17–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 1.76 |
| ROI % | +18.8% | +19.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.94u | +4.58u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fonseca | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | — | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fonseca has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Tsitsipas's 40%).
| Opponent | Fonseca | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Shelton | L 36 67 | L 26 36 46 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 64 76 | L 46 67 |
| Casper Ruud | W 76 63 | L 76 67 67 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 76 64 | W 64 67 63 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 63 62 | W 63 36 63 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 75 36 46 | W 64 64 |
| Novak Djokovic | W 46 46 63 75 75 | L 36 46 26 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 76 63 | W 64 76 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 64 36 62 | L 63 67 46 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W 57 64 63 | L 26 63 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dominic Stricker
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, BRA-SUI 3-1 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Botic van de Zandschulp
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 10
Casper Ruud
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Stefanos Tsitsipas
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Jesper de Jong
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Roberto Bautista Agut
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Luciano Darderi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Kimmer Coppejans
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Valentin Vacherot
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yoshihito Nishioka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alex Molcan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Norbert Gombos
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–58 matches
| Metric | Fonseca | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 62% |
| Sets won | 60% | 60% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fonseca | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fonseca | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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