Jelena Ostapenko vs Victoria AzarenkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฑ๐ปJelena Ostapenko
#34 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
5 meetings ยท sets 2โ10
๐ง๐พVictoria Azarenka
Unranked ยท 36 yrs ยท Right-Handed
59wJelena Ostapenko and Victoria Azarenka have met 5 times since 2019; Victoria Azarenka leads 5โ0. Their first meeting came at Roland Garros in 2019 on clay. On hard courts Azarenka leads 4โ0. Azarenka has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 2 sets to Azarenka's 10. Their most recent meeting: Victoria Azarenka won at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Azarenka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Victoria Azarenka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | โ | |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | โ | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 17/42 | โ | |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | โ | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | โ | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | โ | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | โ | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | โ | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample โ read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 0, Azarenka 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Azarenka
๐ The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Feb 14, 2024
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Jan 20, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Jan 5, 2024
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 15, 2021
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard ยท Semifinals
May 28, 2019
Roland Garros
C Clay ยท Round of 128
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2โ4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | - |
| ROI % | -34.0% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.04u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 4 | โ |
| Distance | 592 mi ยท 952 km | โ |
| Route | POR โ ROU | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul ยท 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul ยท 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Aug 29
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Aug 27
Hina Inoue
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jul 1
Iga Swiatek
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg ยท 2nd Round
Jun 24
Laura Siegemund
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg ยท 1st Round
Jun 23
Sofia Kenin
French Open - Paris ยท 2nd Round
May 29
Yanina Wickmayer
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 42โ42 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | - |
| Sets won | 57% | - |
| Games won | 53% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 4 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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