Jelena Ostapenko vs Shuai ZhangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 4–0
🇨🇳Shuai Zhang
#81 · 37 yrs · Right-Handed
7w3Jelena Ostapenko and Shuai Zhang have met 3 times since 2018; Jelena Ostapenko leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Rome in 2018 on clay. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 4 sets to Zhang's 0. Their most recent meeting: Shuai Zhang won at National Bank Open - Toronto (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Shuai Zhang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 70% | 23/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 30% | 9/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 17/42 | 30% | 19/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | 47% | 16/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 91% | 29/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 72% | 23/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 2, Zhang 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Zhang
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 404 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jelena Ostapenko.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 4, 2026
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 6, 2019
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 64
May 16, 2018
Rome
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenko | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jelena Ostapenko | Shuai Zhang | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 3.35 |
| ROI % | -34.0% | -32.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.04u | -2.27u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 592 mi · 952 km | — |
| Route | POR → ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Zhang's 30%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Taylah Preston | L 46 16 | L 36 62 36 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 64 61 | W 64 61 |
| Magdalena Frech | L 16 36 | W 62 64 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 46 46 | L 36 46 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 26 62 63 | L 57 46 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 75 | L 36 26 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 16 67 | L 36 46 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 61 62 | L 16 16 |
| Lucrezia Stefanini | W 60 61 | W 62 62 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 64 46 46 | L 36 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Maria Timofeeva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 26
Ann Li
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kayla Day
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Jelena Ostapenko
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Yulia Putintseva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Gabriela Andrea Knutson
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–63 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 52% |
| Sets won | 57% | 52% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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