Jelena Ostapenko vs Kiki BertensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฑ๐ปJelena Ostapenko
#34 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
3 meetings ยท sets 2โ4
๐ณ๐ฑKiki Bertens
Unranked ยท 34 yrs ยท Right-Handed
273wJelena Ostapenko and Kiki Bertens have met 3 times since 2016; Kiki Bertens leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon in 2016 on grass. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 2 sets to Bertens's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Qatar Total Open - Doha (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Bertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Kiki Bertens | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | โ | |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | โ | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 17/42 | โ | |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | โ | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | โ | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | โ | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | โ | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | โ | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample โ read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 1, Bertens 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Bertens
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Jelena Ostapenko and Kiki Bertens are ๐ฅ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 1, 2021
Qatar Total Open - Doha
H Hard ยท 1st Round
May 8, 2019
Madrid
C Clay ยท Round of 32
Jun 28, 2016
Wimbledon
G Grass ยท Round of 128
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Bertens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2โ4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | - |
| ROI % | -34.0% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.04u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Bertens |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 4 | โ |
| Distance | 592 mi ยท 952 km | โ |
| Route | POR โ ROU | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul ยท 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul ยท 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Marketa Vondrousova
Olympics - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Jul 24
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Shelby Rogers
Eastbourne International - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round
Jun 22
Polona Hercog
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 31
Veronika Kudermetova
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid ยท 2nd Round
May 1
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid ยท 1st Round
Apr 29
Xin Yu Wang
BJK Cup Playoffs: NED vs CHN ยท Round Robin
Apr 17
Xi Yao Wang
Billie Jean King Cup, PO, NED-CHN 3-2 ยท Rubber 1
Apr 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 42โ42 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Bertens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | - |
| Sets won | 57% | - |
| Games won | 53% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Bertens |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Bertens |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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