Jelena Ostapenko vs Katerina SiniakovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 0–4
🇨🇿Katerina Siniakova
#87 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Jelena Ostapenko and Katerina Siniakova have met 2 times since 2019; Katerina Siniakova leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Beijing in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Siniakova leads 2–0. Siniakova has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 0 sets to Siniakova's 4. Their most recent meeting: Katerina Siniakova won at Rogers Cup - Montreal (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Siniakova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Katerina Siniakova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 17/42 | 37% | 13/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 0, Siniakova 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Siniakova
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,247 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 9, 2021
Rogers Cup - Montreal
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 2, 2019
Beijing
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenko | Siniakova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jelena Ostapenko | Katerina Siniakova | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 2.80 |
| ROI % | -34.0% | -18.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.04u | -1.10u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 592 mi · 952 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | POR → ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Siniakova's 50%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Paula Badosa | W 76 75 | L 36 57 |
| Magda Linette | L 26 62 26 | W 64 63 |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | W 75 64 | W 63 62 |
| Qinwen Zheng | W 46 64 64 | W 64 64 |
| Panna Udvardy | W 36 61 62 | W 61 62 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 64 36 26 | L 26 46 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 36 26 | L 75 46 26 |
| Simona Waltert | W 62 75 | W 64 76 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 61 62 | L 64 67 57 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 26 62 63 | L 63 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Elina Svitolina
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Magda Linette
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Madison Keys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Nikola Bartunkova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–42 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 49% |
| Sets won | 57% | 52% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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