Jay Friend vs Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇯🇵Jay Friend
#260 · 22 yrs · R
41 meeting · sets 2–0
🇧🇷Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
#255 · 25 yrs · R
Jay Friend and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida have met 1 time since 2026; Jay Friend leads 1–0. Across all meetings Friend has taken 2 sets to Almeida's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jay Friend won at Manacor Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Friend | Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jay Friend | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 21/30 | 72% | 33/46 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 7/16 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 16/46 | 35% | 25/71 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 11/25 | 50% | 22/44 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 4/5 | 85% | 11/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 14/20 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 25/28 | 87% | 40/46 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 21/28 | 72% | 33/46 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Friend 1, Pucinelli De Almeida 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Friend
💥 Big Hitter
Almeida
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,349 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jay Friend.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 2, 2026
Manacor Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Friend | Almeida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jay Friend | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 80% | 16/20 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 35% | 7/20 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 7/11 | 5% | 1/20 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Friend | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–2 | 14–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.69 | 1.86 |
| ROI % | +30.6% | +0.2% |
| Units P/L | +2.75u | +0.05u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Friend | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 835 mi · 1,344 km |
| Route | — | ARG → BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Keisuke Saitoh
Wuning 3 Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 10
Ryan Seggerman
Wuning 3 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Yuta Kikuchi
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Max Basing
Istanbul Challenger · Final
Sep 13
Maks Kasnikowski
Istanbul Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Yanki Erel
Istanbul Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Samir Hamza Reguig
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Antofagasta Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Antofagasta Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Alex Barrena
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Tomas Barrios Vera
Curitiba Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Curitiba Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Hugo Dellien
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Remy Bertola
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, BRA-SUI 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–71 matches
| Metric | Friend | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 65% |
| Sets won | 62% | 62% |
| Games won | 54% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Friend | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Friend | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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