Jaqueline Cristian vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐ดJaqueline Cristian
#61 ยท 28 yrs ยท Right-Handed
15w2 meetings ยท sets 2โ2

๐ฑ๐ปJelena Ostapenko
#34 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Jaqueline Cristian and Jelena Ostapenko have met 2 times since 2021; they are level 1โ1. Their first meeting came at St. Petersburg Ladies Trophy - St. Petersburg in 2021 on hard. Across all meetings Cristian has taken 2 sets to Ostapenko's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at French Open - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cristian | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jaqueline Cristian | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 11/19 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 15/37 | 40% | 17/42 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 6/13 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 14/24 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 10/15 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 65% | 17/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cristian 1, Ostapenko 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cristian
๐ค Servebot
Ostapenko
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ค Servebot vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 26, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Mar 17, 2021
St. Petersburg Ladies Trophy - St. Petersburg
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Cristian | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 2โ4 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.89 |
| ROI % | - | -34.0% |
| Units P/L | - | -2.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cristian | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 2 |
| Events | โ | 2 |
| Matches | โ | 4 |
| Distance | โ | 592 mi ยท 952 km |
| Route | โ | POR โ ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Cristian has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Ostapenko's 50%).
| Opponent | Cristian | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 16 46 | L 46 46 |
| Qinwen Zheng | W 64 76 | W 46 64 64 |
| Ella Seidel | W | W 64 64 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 67 63 26 | L 36 26 |
| Lucrezia Stefanini | W 62 26 75 | W 60 61 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 61 63 | L 64 46 46 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 57 36 | L 75 26 46 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 46 16 | L 64 36 26 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 63 46 76 | W 64 62 |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | W 62 76 | W 75 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Iva Jovic
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Katie Boulter
The HSBC Championships - London ยท 2nd Round
Jun 12
Qinwen Zheng
The HSBC Championships - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 25
Victoria Mboko
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg ยท Semifinals
May 22
Daria Kasatkina
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg ยท Quarterfinals
May 21
Clara Tauson
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg ยท 2nd Round
May 20
Mccartney Kessler
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg ยท 1st Round
May 18
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul ยท 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul ยท 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 37โ42 matches
| Metric | Cristian | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 57% |
| Sets won | 51% | 57% |
| Games won | 49% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cristian | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cristian | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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