Jaqueline Cristian vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐ดJaqueline Cristian
#43 ยท 28 yrs ยท Right-Handed
9w2 meetings ยท sets 2โ2

๐ฑ๐ปJelena Ostapenko
#31 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Jaqueline Cristian and Jelena Ostapenko have met 2 times since 2021; they are level 1โ1. Their first meeting came at St. Petersburg Ladies Trophy - St. Petersburg in 2021 on hard. Across all meetings Cristian has taken 2 sets to Ostapenko's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at French Open - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cristian | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jaqueline Cristian | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 9/18 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 8/22 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 17/40 | 41% | 16/39 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 5/12 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 54% | 15/28 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 9/15 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 12/16 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 9/16 | 65% | 15/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cristian 1, Ostapenko 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cristian
๐ค Servebot
Ostapenko
๐ The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The ๐ The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs ๐ค Servebot across 1,830 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jelena Ostapenko.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 26, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Mar 17, 2021
St. Petersburg Ladies Trophy - St. Petersburg
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Cristian | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1โ2 | 5โ2 |
| Avg odds | 3.61 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | +8.3% | -7.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.25u | -0.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cristian | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 1 |
| Events | โ | 1 |
| Matches | โ | 1 |
| Distance | โ | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | โ | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 8 shared opponents, both Cristian and Ostapenko posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Cristian | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 16 46 | L 46 46 |
| Qinwen Zheng | W 64 76 | W 46 64 64 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 67 63 26 | L 36 26 |
| Lucrezia Stefanini | W 62 26 75 | W 60 61 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 57 36 | L 75 26 46 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 46 16 | L 64 36 26 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 63 46 76 | W 64 62 |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | W 62 76 | W 75 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Iva Jovic
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Katie Boulter
The HSBC Championships - London ยท 2nd Round
Jun 12
Qinwen Zheng
The HSBC Championships - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 25
Victoria Mboko
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg ยท Semifinals
May 22
Daria Kasatkina
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg ยท Quarterfinals
May 21
Clara Tauson
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg ยท 2nd Round
May 20
Mccartney Kessler
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg ยท 1st Round
May 18
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris ยท 2nd Round
May 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 39โ40 matches
| Metric | Cristian | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 56% |
| Sets won | 45% | 56% |
| Games won | 47% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cristian | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cristian | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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