Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nuno BorgesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jan-Lennard Struff and Nuno Borges have met 2 times since 2023; Nuno Borges leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Phoenix Challenger in 2023 on hard. Borges has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Struff has taken 0 sets to Borges's 4. Their most recent meeting: Nuno Borges won at Mallorca Championships - Mallorca (2026).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel
- Level
- ATP 500
- Round
- Quarterfinals
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 30 · 1:00 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.70 or shorter, Jan-Lennard Struff has won 78 of 128 (61%). That is level with the 63% the price implied.
At 2.17 or longer, Nuno Borges has won 28 of 69 (41%). The price implied 37%, so Nuno Borges has beaten it by 4 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Nuno Borges and Jan-Lennard Struff meet in the quarterfinals of the Swiss Indoors Basel on October 30 on hard court. Borges, ranked 53rd, arrives with a two-match winning streak; Struff, ranked 47th, has won his last two as well. Both players have logged heavy schedules over the past two weeks, with Struff playing seven matches in fourteen days compared to Borges' two.
Borges leads their head-to-head 2-0 in two completed meetings. Recent common opponents tell a mixed story: Borges took wins over Emilio Nava, Francisco Cerundolo, and James Duckworth, while Struff defeated Brandon Nakashima and Marcos Giron. Borges has won 60% of his last five and last ten matches; Struff has won 80% over five and 70% over ten.
Both players rely heavily on their serve. Borges holds a 55% hard court record in his recent sample; Struff sits at 50%. The quarterfinal will hinge on which player's serve holds up under pressure and who can generate consistent break opportunities against a pair of opponents who prioritize holding serve.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Struff | Borges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jan-Lennard Struff | Nuno Borges | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 18/27 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 12/24 | 40% | 10/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 21/51 | 33% | 17/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 11/27 | 59% | 17/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 15/27 | 46% | 12/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 22/27 | 88% | 22/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 18/27 | 80% | 20/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Struff 0, Borges 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Struff
🤖 Servebot
Borges
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Jan-Lennard Struff and Nuno Borges are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,688 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 23, 2026
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca
G Grass · 2nd Round
Mar 18, 2023
Phoenix Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Struff | Borges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jan-Lennard Struff | Nuno Borges | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 5 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 10 or more | 53% | 8/15 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 15 or more | 33% | 5/15 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Struff | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 9–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.80 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | +44.7% | +11.4% |
| Units P/L | +7.15u | +1.60u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Struff | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 3 |
| Matches | 11 | 5 |
| Distance | 6,532 mi · 10,512 km | 6,290 mi · 10,122 km |
| Route | CHN → BEL → SUI | CHN → SUI |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Struff has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Borges's 30%).
| Opponent | Struff | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Novak Djokovic | W 67 75 76 | L 36 67 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 64 63 | W 64 62 |
| Marcos Giron | W 76 76 | L 67 26 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 67 36 | L 36 63 36 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 75 57 64 26 36 | W 64 64 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 46 76 76 67 76 | L 36 76 36 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 76 26 63 | L 16 64 36 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 67 67 | W 64 62 |
| Mariano Navone | L 06 36 | L 36 46 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 57 67 36 | L 67 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Novak Djokovic
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel · 2nd Round
Oct 29
Yannick Hanfmann
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel · 1st Round
Oct 28
Tallon Griekspoor
European Open - Brussels · Final
Oct 25
Arthur Fils
European Open - Brussels · Semifinals
Oct 24
Zizou Bergs
European Open - Brussels · Quarterfinals
Oct 23
Gauthier Onclin
European Open - Brussels · 2nd Round
Oct 21
Marcos Giron
European Open - Brussels · 1st Round
Oct 20
Daniil Medvedev
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Casper Ruud
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel · 2nd Round
Oct 28
Mika Brunold
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel · 1st Round
Oct 26
Jiri Lehecka
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Learner Tien
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–61 matches
| Metric | Struff | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 52% |
| Sets won | 54% | 52% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Struff | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Struff | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |