Jan-Lennard Struff vs Marin CilicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jan-Lennard Struff and Marin Cilic have met 4 times since 2018; Jan-Lennard Struff leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Tokyo in 2018 on hard. On clay courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts Struff leads 2–0. Struff has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Struff has taken 7 sets to Cilic's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jan-Lennard Struff won at Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Struff | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jan-Lennard Struff | Marin Cilic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 14/23 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 12/25 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 21/48 | 29% | 10/34 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 32% | 8/25 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 11/21 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 11/22 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 17/22 | 81% | 13/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 14/22 | 75% | 12/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Struff 1, Cilic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Struff
🤖 Servebot
Cilic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Jan-Lennard Struff and Marin Cilic are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 2, 2024
Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong
H Hard · 1st Round
May 8, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 32
May 7, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Round of 32
Oct 3, 2018
Tokyo
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Struff | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jan-Lennard Struff | Marin Cilic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 5 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 10 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Struff | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.86 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | -16.9% | -56.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.86u | -2.25u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Struff | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 1 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cilic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Struff's 43%).
| Opponent | Struff | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | L 64 46 36 | L 16 26 46 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 64 64 | L 46 46 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | W 36 76 64 | W 61 63 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 46 76 76 67 76 | W 26 64 76 |
| Nuno Borges | L 46 57 | W 36 76 63 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 36 46 | W 46 63 64 |
| Otto Virtanen | L 76 46 46 | L 57 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniil Medvedev
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Martin Landaluce
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Thiago Agustin Tirante
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Francisco Cerundolo
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Alejandro Tabilo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fery
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sho Shimabukuro
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Daniil Medvedev
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–58 matches
| Metric | Struff | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 49% |
| Sets won | 51% | 49% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Struff | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Struff | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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