Jan-Lennard Struff vs Mackenzie McDonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jan-Lennard Struff and Mackenzie McDonald have met 2 times since 2025; Jan-Lennard Struff leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Struff leads 2–0. Struff has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Struff has taken 5 sets to McDonald's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jan-Lennard Struff won at Almaty Open - Almaty (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Struff | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jan-Lennard Struff | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 12/22 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 12/25 | 24% | 6/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 22/47 | 28% | 14/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 26% | 7/27 | 50% | 15/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 9/18 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 11/24 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 16/21 | 87% | 20/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 12/21 | 74% | 17/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Struff 0, McDonald 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Struff
🤖 Servebot
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jan-Lennard Struff.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 15, 2025
Almaty Open - Almaty
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 25, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Struff | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jan-Lennard Struff | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 10 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 39% | 5/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Struff | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–6 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 3.27 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | +31.9% | -24.7% |
| Units P/L | +4.14u | -2.72u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Struff | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
McDonald has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Struff's 17%).
| Opponent | Struff | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Michelsen | L 16 63 16 | L 46 57 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 63 16 75 | W 36 62 75 |
| Jaime Faria | L 57 67 26 | W 63 76 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | L 36 36 | L 26 67 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 61 16 | W 64 36 63 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 67 67 | L 76 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Tabilo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Alex Michelsen
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Mariano Navone
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 21
Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon · Round of 16
Jul 6
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Adam Walton
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Patrick Kypson
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Roberto Carballes Baena
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Christopher O'Connell
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Shintaro Mochizuki
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–56 matches
| Metric | Struff | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 49% |
| Sets won | 48% | 48% |
| Games won | 49% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Struff | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Struff | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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