Jan-Lennard Struff vs Mackenzie McDonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jan-Lennard Struff and Mackenzie McDonald have met 2 times since 2025; Jan-Lennard Struff leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Struff leads 2–0. Struff has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Struff has taken 5 sets to McDonald's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jan-Lennard Struff won at Almaty Open - Almaty (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Struff | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jan-Lennard Struff | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 14/23 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 12/25 | 32% | 9/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 21/48 | 33% | 16/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 32% | 8/25 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 11/21 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 11/22 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 17/22 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 14/22 | 68% | 13/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Struff 0, McDonald 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Struff
🤖 Servebot
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 720 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jan-Lennard Struff.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 15, 2025
Almaty Open - Almaty
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 25, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Struff | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jan-Lennard Struff | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 3 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Struff | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.86 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | -16.9% | -56.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.86u | -5.63u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Struff | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 1 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Struff has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs McDonald's 33%).
| Opponent | Struff | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Landaluce | W 64 64 | L 36 46 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 61 64 | L 26 06 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 16 63 16 | L 46 57 |
| Jaime Faria | L 57 67 26 | W 63 76 |
| Hugo Grenier | W 60 64 | W 76 61 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 67 67 | L 76 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniil Medvedev
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Martin Landaluce
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Thiago Agustin Tirante
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Francisco Cerundolo
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Alejandro Tabilo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Ryan Nijboer
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Toby Samuel
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Thiago Seyboth Wild
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Stefano Napolitano
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Yibing Wu
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–58 matches
| Metric | Struff | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 41% |
| Sets won | 51% | 43% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Struff | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Struff | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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