Jakub Mensik vs Pablo Carreno BustaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jakub Mensik and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 3 times since 2025; Jakub Mensik leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at ASB Classic - Auckland in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Mensik leads 3–0. Mensik has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Mensik has taken 7 sets to Busta's 3. Their most recent meeting: Jakub Mensik won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mensik | Carreno Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jakub Mensik | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 16/27 | 53% | 18/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 9/16 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 20/43 | 46% | 24/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 15/37 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 4/6 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 12/22 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 24/26 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 16/26 | 67% | 18/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mensik 1, Carreno Busta 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mensik
🤖 Servebot
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jakub Mensik.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 20, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 20, 2025
Davis Cup, World Group, QF, ESP-CZE 2-1
H Hard · Rubber 1
Jan 7, 2025
ASB Classic - Auckland
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mensik | Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jakub Mensik | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 13/17 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 10 or more | 59% | 10/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mensik | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.53 | 2.47 |
| ROI % | -10.8% | -9.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.05u | -1.18u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mensik | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 6 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Mensik and Busta posted a 70% win rate.
| Opponent | Mensik | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 63 63 | W 46 63 76 |
| Mariano Navone | W 63 26 64 16 76 | W 46 75 63 |
| Adrian Mannarino | L 75 67 67 | W 63 64 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 75 46 46 | W 76 75 36 64 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 63 76 46 26 63 | L 67 16 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 75 26 76 | W 64 26 76 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 64 75 | W 63 62 |
| Grigor Dimitrov | L 67 64 57 36 | L 36 26 |
| Rafael Jodar | W 62 64 64 | L 63 36 61 36 46 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 76 62 | W 64 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Francisco Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Miomir Kecmanovic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alexander Bublik
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Brandon Nakashima
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Ben Shelton
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Learner Tien
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Learner Tien
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Mariano Navone
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Adrian Mannarino
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yi Zhou
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jiri Lehecka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–58 matches
| Metric | Mensik | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 62% |
| Sets won | 62% | 58% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mensik | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mensik | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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