Jacob Fearnley vs Taro DanielPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jacob Fearnley and Taro Daniel have met 1 time since 2026; Taro Daniel leads 1–0. Across all meetings Fearnley has taken 0 sets to Daniel's 2. Their most recent meeting: Taro Daniel won at Quebec City Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fearnley | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jacob Fearnley | Taro Daniel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 16/30 | 71% | 25/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 9/20 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 23/50 | 32% | 18/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 14/37 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 13/24 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 20/20 | 88% | 29/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 16/20 | 76% | 25/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fearnley 0, Daniel 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fearnley
🎾 All-Court
Daniel
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🎾 All-Court vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 195 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 22, 2026
Quebec City Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fearnley | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jacob Fearnley | Taro Daniel | ||
| 1 or more | 96% | 24/25 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 72% | 18/25 | 44% | 8/18 |
| 5 or more | 48% | 12/25 | 28% | 5/18 |
| 10 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fearnley | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18–7 | 14–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.71 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | +10.5% | +67.7% |
| Units P/L | +2.62u | +12.19u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fearnley | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Distance | 145 mi · 233 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fearnley has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Daniel's 67%).
| Opponent | Fearnley | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Dane Sweeny | W 67 61 62 | L 57 46 |
| Lukas Neumayer | W 63 76 | W 64 63 |
| Damir Dzumhur | W 63 63 | W 64 46 63 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 16 67 | L 36 76 26 |
| Lukas Pokorny | W 36 64 61 | W 64 60 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 63 67 76 | W 36 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Alexis Galarneau
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Jakub Mensik
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Adrian Mannarino
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · Final
Jul 26
Michael Zheng
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 25
J.J. Wolf
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Jan Choinski
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Duncan Chan
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Botic van de Zandschulp
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Bastad
Jul 13
Federico Coria
Bastad
Jul 12
Valentin Royer
Iasi Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–56 matches
| Metric | Fearnley | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 63% |
| Sets won | 53% | 60% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fearnley | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fearnley | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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