Jacob Fearnley vs Taro DanielPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jacob Fearnley and Taro Daniel have met 1 time since 2026; Taro Daniel leads 1–0. Across all meetings Fearnley has taken 0 sets to Daniel's 2. Their most recent meeting: Taro Daniel won at Quebec City Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fearnley | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jacob Fearnley | Taro Daniel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 19/32 | 73% | 29/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 11/22 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 24/54 | 31% | 19/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 17/41 | 60% | 15/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 8/13 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 14/26 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 23/24 | 83% | 35/42 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 19/24 | 69% | 29/42 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fearnley 0, Daniel 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fearnley
🪃 Counterpuncher
Daniel
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Jacob Fearnley and Taro Daniel are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 22, 2026
Quebec City Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fearnley | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jacob Fearnley | Taro Daniel | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 65% | 11/17 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 5 or more | 53% | 9/17 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 10 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fearnley | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.67 | 1.73 |
| ROI % | +0.1% | +5.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.01u | +0.82u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fearnley | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 2,283 mi · 3,674 km |
| Route | POR | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Fearnley and Daniel posted a 71% win rate.
| Opponent | Fearnley | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Shintaro Mochizuki | W 63 61 | L 62 26 26 |
| Dane Sweeny | W 67 61 62 | W 76 62 |
| Kyrian Jacquet | L 67 61 36 | W 64 36 63 |
| Lukas Neumayer | W 63 76 | W 64 63 |
| Damir Dzumhur | W 63 63 | W 64 46 63 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 16 67 | L 36 76 26 |
| Lukas Pokorny | W 36 64 61 | W 64 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Martin Landaluce
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jurij Rodionov
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Luka Pavlovic
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Roberto Carballes Baena
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Shintaro Mochizuki
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Fabian Marozsan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Dane Sweeny
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Hayato Matsuoka
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Jake Delaney
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Matthew Dellavedova
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–61 matches
| Metric | Fearnley | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 66% |
| Sets won | 53% | 62% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fearnley | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fearnley | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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