Dane Sweeny vs Taro DanielPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Dane Sweeny and Taro Daniel have met 4 times since 2023; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Canada in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Sweeny has taken 4 sets to Daniel's 4. Their most recent meeting: Taro Daniel won at Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sweeny | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dane Sweeny | Taro Daniel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 30/44 | 73% | 29/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 13/27 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 27/71 | 30% | 18/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 26/43 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 16/24 | 73% | 22/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 18/31 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 35/44 | 88% | 35/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 30/44 | 73% | 29/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sweeny 2, Daniel 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sweeny
🎾 All-Court
Daniel
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
🎾 All-Court vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 879 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 24, 2026
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 10, 2026
Brisbane 2 Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 4, 2023
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 5, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sweeny | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dane Sweeny | Taro Daniel | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sweeny | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 12–5 |
| Avg odds | 3.63 | 1.68 |
| ROI % | +81.1% | +14.9% |
| Units P/L | +8.11u | +2.54u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sweeny | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 7,449 mi · 11,988 km | 7,471 mi · 12,023 km |
| Route | USA → CHN | USA → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sweeny has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Daniel's 50%).
| Opponent | Sweeny | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Delaney | W 64 76 | W 63 64 |
| Matthew Dellavedova | W 62 61 | W 63 61 |
| Andrew Johnson | W 62 61 | L 62 26 46 |
| Jacob Fearnley | L 76 16 26 | W 64 61 |
| Duncan Chan | W 64 61 | W 63 62 |
| Andres Martin | L 64 36 67 | W 67 63 64 |
| Billy Harris | W 64 76 | L 46 26 |
| Yuta Shimizu | L 57 57 | L 36 26 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 36 26 | L 36 76 26 |
| Tung-Lin Wu | W 63 16 61 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taro Daniel
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Luciano Darderi
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Lorenzo Musetti
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Corentin Moutet
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Jesper de Jong
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Shintaro Mochizuki
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Daniel Milavsky
Vancouver Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Dane Sweeny
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Hayato Matsuoka
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Jake Delaney
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Matthew Dellavedova
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Andrew Johnson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–78 matches
| Metric | Sweeny | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 66% |
| Sets won | 58% | 62% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sweeny | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sweeny | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
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