Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇬🇧Jacob Fearnley
#96 · 25 yrs · R
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#258 · 33 yrs · R
5wJacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 2 times since 2025; Jacob Fearnley leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona in 2025 on clay. Fearnley has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Fearnley has taken 4 sets to Baena's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jacob Fearnley won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fearnley | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jacob Fearnley | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 19/32 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 11/22 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 24/54 | 43% | 20/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 17/41 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 8/13 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 14/26 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 23/24 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 19/24 | 58% | 14/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fearnley 2, Carballes Baena 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fearnley
🪃 Counterpuncher
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 24, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 14, 2025
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fearnley | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jacob Fearnley | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 3 or more | 65% | 11/17 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 5 or more | 53% | 9/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fearnley | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.67 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | +0.1% | -54.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.01u | -3.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fearnley | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | POR | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fearnley has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Baena's 50%).
| Opponent | Fearnley | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie McDonald | W 64 75 | L 46 46 |
| Sebastian Ofner | W 76 62 | L 64 36 36 |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | W 63 61 | W 60 63 |
| Arthur Bouquier | L 36 26 | W 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Martin Landaluce
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jurij Rodionov
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Luka Pavlovic
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Roberto Carballes Baena
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–60 matches
| Metric | Fearnley | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 52% |
| Sets won | 53% | 52% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fearnley | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fearnley | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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