Iga Swiatek vs Katerina SiniakovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ต๐ฑIga Swiatek
#8 ยท 25 yrs ยท Right-Handed
1 meeting ยท sets 2โ0

๐จ๐ฟKaterina Siniakova
#39 ยท 30 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Iga Swiatek and Katerina Siniakova have met 1 time since 2025; Iga Swiatek leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Swiatek has taken 2 sets to Siniakova's 0. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Swiatek | Siniakova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Iga Swiatek | Katerina Siniakova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 34/43 | 80% | 16/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 65% | 11/17 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/60 | 31% | 12/39 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 33/58 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/1 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 5/7 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 38/44 | 84% | 16/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 34/44 | 84% | 16/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Swiatek 1, Siniakova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Swiatek
๐ The Complete Package
Siniakova
๐น Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
๐ The Complete Package vs ๐น Frontrunner is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 821 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 13, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Swiatek | Siniakova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Iga Swiatek | Katerina Siniakova | ||
| 1 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 3 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10โ3 | 4โ4 |
| Avg odds | 1.24 | 1.98 |
| ROI % | -6.7% | -20.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.87u | -1.67u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 9 | 2 |
| Distance | 411 mi ยท 662 km | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | CAN โ POL | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Siniakova's 30%).
| Opponent | Swiatek | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 57 64 46 | L 26 46 |
| Madison Keys | W 61 62 | L 16 36 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 62 61 | L 16 62 57 |
| Yue Yuan | W 76 63 | W 64 62 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 62 63 | L 67 36 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 61 67 63 | L 36 62 67 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 61 16 61 | L 64 67 57 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 63 46 36 | W 46 76 63 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W 57 61 61 | W 76 62 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 76 46 26 | L 16 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท Semifinals
Aug 22
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 19
Maria Sakkari
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 17
Emiliana Arango
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท Semifinals
Aug 13
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 8
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 6
Madison Keys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Nikola Bartunkova
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Qinwen Zheng
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Liudmila Samsonova
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg ยท 1st Round
Jun 21
Jessica Pegula
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin ยท 2nd Round
Jun 17
Rebeka Masarova
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Yue Yuan
Berlin
Jun 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 39โ60 matches
| Metric | Swiatek | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 51% |
| Sets won | 69% | 53% |
| Games won | 60% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Swiatek | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Swiatek | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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