Hugo Gaston vs Lorenzo SonegoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hugo Gaston and Lorenzo Sonego have met 3 times since 2021; Lorenzo Sonego leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Open Sud de France - Montpellier in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Sonego leads 2–0. Sonego has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Gaston has taken 2 sets to Sonego's 7. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Sonego won at Wimbledon - London (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gaston | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hugo Gaston | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 22/35 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 8/22 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 21/57 | 36% | 13/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 17/35 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 27/30 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 22/30 | 53% | 9/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gaston 0, Sonego 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lorenzo Sonego.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 30, 2022
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Jan 10, 2022
Sydney Tennis Classic - Sydney
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 22, 2021
Open Sud de France - Montpellier
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gaston | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hugo Gaston | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 6/13 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gaston | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | +7.8% | -18.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.24u | -2.92u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gaston | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sonego has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Gaston's 17%).
| Opponent | Gaston | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Pierre-Hugues Herbert | L 57 26 | W 76 46 63 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 26 57 | W 64 76 |
| Jan Choinski | L 64 06 46 | W 46 64 64 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 16 26 | L 36 36 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 36 46 | L 64 26 46 |
| Arthur Fery | W 76 75 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luca Van Assche
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Jesper de Jong
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Semifinals
Jul 25
Tiago Torres
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Daniel Altmaier
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Jan Choinski
Braunschweig Challenger · Final
Jul 12
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Braunschweig Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Juncheng Shang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Joel Schwaerzler
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–61 matches
| Metric | Gaston | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 47% |
| Sets won | 56% | 46% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gaston | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gaston | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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