Hugo Gaston vs Lorenzo SonegoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hugo Gaston and Lorenzo Sonego have met 3 times since 2021; Lorenzo Sonego leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Open Sud de France - Montpellier in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Sonego leads 2–0. Sonego has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Gaston has taken 2 sets to Sonego's 7. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Sonego won at Wimbledon - London (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gaston | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hugo Gaston | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 21/32 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 9/23 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/55 | 38% | 14/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 16/34 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 11/18 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 24/29 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 53% | 10/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gaston 0, Sonego 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lorenzo Sonego.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 30, 2022
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Jan 10, 2022
Sydney Tennis Classic - Sydney
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 22, 2021
Open Sud de France - Montpellier
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gaston | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hugo Gaston | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 39% | 5/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gaston | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 4–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.43 | 2.58 |
| ROI % | -2.1% | -46.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.30u | -6.09u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gaston | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 103 mi · 165 km | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sonego has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Gaston's 13%).
| Opponent | Gaston | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Andrey Rublev | L 76 67 16 | L 26 36 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 26 46 | L 63 67 46 |
| Pierre-Hugues Herbert | L 57 26 | W 76 46 63 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 26 57 | W 64 76 |
| Jan Choinski | L 64 06 46 | W 46 64 64 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 16 26 | L 36 36 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 36 46 | L 64 26 46 |
| Arthur Fery | W 76 75 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Liam Draxl
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Jaime Faria
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Sho Shimabukuro
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Colton Smith
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Andre Ilagan
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Guido Ivan Justo
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Aziz Dougaz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Kamil Majchrzak
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
James Duckworth
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–60 matches
| Metric | Gaston | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 44% |
| Sets won | 54% | 46% |
| Games won | 51% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gaston | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gaston | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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