Hugo Gaston vs Juan Manuel CerundoloPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hugo Gaston and Juan Manuel Cerundolo have met 2 times since 2021; Hugo Gaston leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Swiss Open - Gstaad in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Gaston leads 2–0. Gaston has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Gaston has taken 4 sets to Cerundolo's 1. Their most recent meeting: Hugo Gaston won at Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gaston | Manuel Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hugo Gaston | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 21/32 | 62% | 21/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 9/23 | 32% | 7/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/55 | 36% | 20/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 16/34 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 11/18 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 24/29 | 90% | 27/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 70% | 21/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gaston 1, Manuel Cerundolo 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Cerundolo
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 1, 2025
Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech
C Clay · 1st Round
Jul 20, 2021
Swiss Open - Gstaad
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gaston | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hugo Gaston | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 94% | 17/18 |
| 3 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 72% | 13/18 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 61% | 11/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 11% | 2/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gaston | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.43 | 2.95 |
| ROI % | -2.1% | -2.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.30u | -0.36u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gaston | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 103 mi · 165 km | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Gaston's 30%).
| Opponent | Gaston | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Buse | L 16 26 | L 67 64 26 |
| Luca Van Assche | L 46 46 | W 76 64 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 76 61 | W 64 64 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 26 57 | W 64 64 |
| Federico Cina | W 75 64 | W 67 64 63 |
| Arthur Fery | W 76 75 | W 62 76 |
| Martin Landaluce | L 36 26 | W 64 67 76 67 76 |
| Jannik Sinner | L | W 36 26 75 61 61 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | L 16 36 | W 64 63 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 16 75 67 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Liam Draxl
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Jaime Faria
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Sho Shimabukuro
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Colton Smith
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Andre Ilagan
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Guido Ivan Justo
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Carlos Alcaraz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Nicolas Mejia
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Bu Yunchaokete
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Yi Zhou
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Arthur Gea
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Sebastian Baez
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–63 matches
| Metric | Gaston | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 59% |
| Sets won | 54% | 54% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gaston | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gaston | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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