Hugo Gaston vs Juan Manuel CerundoloPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hugo Gaston and Juan Manuel Cerundolo have met 2 times since 2021; Hugo Gaston leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Swiss Open - Gstaad in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Gaston leads 2–0. Gaston has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Gaston has taken 4 sets to Cerundolo's 1. Their most recent meeting: Hugo Gaston won at Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gaston | Manuel Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hugo Gaston | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 22/35 | 61% | 22/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 8/22 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 21/57 | 39% | 22/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 17/35 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 27/30 | 88% | 29/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 22/30 | 67% | 22/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gaston 1, Manuel Cerundolo 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Cerundolo
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 1, 2025
Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech
C Clay · 1st Round
Jul 20, 2021
Swiss Open - Gstaad
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gaston | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hugo Gaston | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 94% | 15/16 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 6/13 | 81% | 13/16 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 63% | 10/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 31% | 5/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gaston | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 9–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | 2.79 |
| ROI % | +7.8% | +57.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.24u | +8.04u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gaston | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Gaston's 40%).
| Opponent | Gaston | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Buse | L 16 26 | L 67 64 26 |
| Luca Van Assche | L 46 46 | W 76 64 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 76 61 | W 64 64 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 26 57 | W 64 64 |
| Federico Cina | W 75 64 | W 67 64 63 |
| Arthur Fery | W 76 75 | W 62 76 |
| Martin Landaluce | L 36 26 | W 64 67 76 67 76 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | L 16 36 | W 64 63 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 16 75 67 | L 26 36 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 62 64 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luca Van Assche
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Jesper de Jong
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Semifinals
Jul 25
Tiago Torres
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Daniel Altmaier
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Jan Choinski
Braunschweig Challenger · Final
Jul 12
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Braunschweig Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Arthur Rinderknech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Mark Lajal
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Casper Ruud
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Hamad Medjedovic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Marco Trungelliti
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–63 matches
| Metric | Gaston | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 62% |
| Sets won | 56% | 57% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gaston | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gaston | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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