Hubert Hurkacz vs Jannik SinnerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hubert Hurkacz and Jannik Sinner have met 5 times since 2021; Jannik Sinner leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Hurkacz leads 2–1. Sinner has won the last 2 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, split 1–1. Across all meetings Hurkacz has taken 5 sets to Sinner's 6. Their most recent meeting: Jannik Sinner won at Terra Wortmann Open - Halle (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Hurkacz | Sinner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hubert Hurkacz | Jannik Sinner | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 12/19 | 88% | 46/52 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 8/15 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 15/34 | 13% | 7/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 9/24 | 87% | 46/53 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 8/10 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 11/21 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 16/22 | 100% | 50/50 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 12/22 | 92% | 46/50 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Hurkacz 2, Sinner 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Hurkacz
🤖 Servebot
Sinner
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jun 23, 2024
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass · Final
Apr 13, 2023
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 3rd Round
Feb 24, 2022
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 16, 2021
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Apr 4, 2021
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Hurkacz | Sinner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hubert Hurkacz | Jannik Sinner | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 10 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 15 or more | 47% | 7/15 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 20 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 29% | 2/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Hurkacz | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 7–0 |
| Avg odds | 1.52 | 1.08 |
| ROI % | +11.4% | +7.9% |
| Units P/L | +1.71u | +0.55u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Hurkacz | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 9 | — |
| Distance | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA → MEX | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Hurkacz's 60%).
| Opponent | Hurkacz | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | W 63 64 | W 67 76 63 64 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | L 63 76 67 57 24 | W 75 76 63 |
| Sebastian Ofner | W 76 64 64 | W 63 64 |
| Casper Ruud | W 64 62 76 | W 64 64 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 63 36 57 | W 60 62 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 63 62 | W 62 64 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 76 67 46 76 46 | W 62 62 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 46 67 | W 61 64 62 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 62 63 | W 61 75 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 76 57 61 | W 61 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sebastian Baez
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Roman Safiullin
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Henrique Rocha
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Tommy Paul
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Sho Shimabukuro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Alejandro Tabilo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 12
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jenson Brooksby
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Nuno Borges
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Miomir Kecmanovic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–72 matches
| Metric | Hurkacz | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 94% |
| Sets won | 57% | 87% |
| Games won | 53% | 62% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Hurkacz | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Finals | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Hurkacz | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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