Holger Rune vs Zizou BergsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Holger Rune and Zizou Bergs have met 1 time since 2022; Holger Rune leads 1–0. Across all meetings Rune has taken 2 sets to Bergs's 1. Their most recent meeting: Holger Rune won at Open 13 Provence - Marseille (2022).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm
- Level
- ATP 250
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- November 9 · 5:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.66 or shorter, Holger Rune has won 86 of 135 (64%). That is level with the 65% the price implied.
At 2.19 or longer, Zizou Bergs has won 34 of 85 (40%). The price implied 37%, so Zizou Bergs has beaten it by 3 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Zizou Bergs meets Holger Rune in the 1st Round of the BNP Paribas Nordic Open on November 9 in Stockholm. Bergs is ranked 40th; Rune sits at 433rd. Both players compete on hard court in what marks their third career meeting.
Rune leads the head-to-head series 2-0. Bergs has won 2 of his last 5 matches and 5 of his last 10, arriving in Stockholm on a three-match losing streak after two matches in 14 days. Rune has won 2 of 5 most recently and 6 of 10 overall, though he comes in on a two-match slide following four matches in the same span.
Both men rely on heavy hitting from the baseline. On hard courts, Bergs carries a 45% win rate across his recent sample, while Rune posts 60% on the surface. Bergs will need to construct points with precision and limit unforced errors; Rune must sustain his hard-court consistency while managing the physical toll of his recent schedule.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rune | Bergs | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Holger Rune | Zizou Bergs | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 25% | 1/4 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 2/4 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 63% | 5/8 | 33% | 17/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 20% | 1/5 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 2/3 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 3/5 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 33% | 1/3 | 75% | 18/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rune 0, Bergs 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rune
💥 Big Hitter
Bergs
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Holger Rune and Zizou Bergs are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 3,824 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Feb 15, 2022
Open 13 Provence - Marseille
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rune | Bergs | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Holger Rune | Zizou Bergs | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 81% | 13/16 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 69% | 11/16 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 38% | 6/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rune | Bergs |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–4 | 9–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.88 | 2.15 |
| ROI % | -4.3% | +11.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.34u | +2.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rune | Bergs |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 5 |
| Events | 3 | 5 |
| Matches | 4 | 8 |
| Distance | 1,216 mi · 1,957 km | 7,085 mi · 11,402 km |
| Route | SUI → FRA → SWE | CHN → BEL → SUI → FRA → SWE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Rune and Bergs posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | Rune | Bergs |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Paul | L 57 46 | L 67 46 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 36 63 76 | L 63 36 46 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 61 67 46 | W |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tommy Paul
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris · 1st Round
Nov 3
Valentin Vacherot
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel · Quarterfinals
Oct 30
Hubert Hurkacz
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel · 2nd Round
Oct 28
Quentin Halys
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel · 1st Round
Oct 26
Daniel Altmaier
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Kyrian Jacquet
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Grigor Dimitrov
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Iliyan Radulov
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Ignacio Buse
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris · 1st Round
Nov 2
Hubert Hurkacz
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel · 1st Round
Oct 27
Jan-Lennard Struff
European Open - Brussels · Quarterfinals
Oct 23
Damir Dzumhur
European Open - Brussels · 2nd Round
Oct 22
Toby Samuel
European Open - Brussels · 1st Round
Oct 20
Tommy Paul
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 4th Round
Oct 14
Carlos Alcaraz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Ignacio Buse
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 8–59 matches
| Metric | Rune | Bergs |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 51% |
| Sets won | 48% | 51% |
| Games won | 49% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rune | Bergs |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rune | Bergs |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |