Hiroki Moriya vs Zhe LiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hiroki Moriya and Zhe Li have met 3 times since 2018; Zhe Li leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Shanghai in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Li leads 2–1. Li has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Moriya has taken 3 sets to Li's 5. Their most recent meeting: Zhe Li won at Wuxi (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moriya | Li | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hiroki Moriya | Zhe Li | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 17/32 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 9/34 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 24/66 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 9/29 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 14/29 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 10/28 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 23/26 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moriya 0, Li 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moriya
🪃 Counterpuncher
Li
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 4, 2025
Wuxi
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 12, 2019
Burnie
H Hard · Round of 32
Sep 13, 2018
Shanghai
H Hard · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moriya | Li |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | - |
| ROI % | -22.1% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.87u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moriya | Li |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 1,420 mi · 2,285 km | — |
| Route | VIE → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Keisuke Saitoh
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Keegan Smith
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Omar Jasika
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Jia Qi Huang
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Blake Ellis
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Yuta Shimizu
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Maximus Jones
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Dominik Palan
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Makoto Ochi
M15 Hong Kong 1 · 1st Round
Aug 27
Rio Noguchi
Wuxi Challenger · 2nd Round
May 7
Shintaro Imai
Wuxi Challenger · 1st Round
May 6
Yuki Mochizuki
Wuxi · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 5
Hiroki Moriya
Wuxi · 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Mikalai Haliak
Wuxi · 1st Round Qualifying
May 5
Dane Sweeny
Matsuyama Challenger · 1st Round
Nov 7
Omni Kumar
Matsuyama · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 66–66 matches
| Metric | Moriya | Li |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | - |
| Sets won | 47% | - |
| Games won | 50% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moriya | Li |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moriya | Li |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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