Hiroki Moriya vs Yosuke WatanukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hiroki Moriya and Yosuke Watanuki have met 4 times since 2018; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Loughborough in 2018 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Watanuki has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Moriya has taken 5 sets to Watanuki's 4. Their most recent meeting: Yosuke Watanuki won at Matsuyama Challenger (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moriya | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hiroki Moriya | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 17/32 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 9/34 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 24/66 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 9/29 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 14/29 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 10/28 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 23/26 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 63% | 10/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moriya 2, Watanuki 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moriya
🪃 Counterpuncher
Watanuki
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Nov 7, 2024
Matsuyama Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 25, 2022
Seoul
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 1, 2019
Playford
H Hard · Round of 64
May 23, 2018
Loughborough
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Moriya | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hiroki Moriya | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 6/13 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moriya | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | -22.1% | -39.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.87u | -2.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moriya | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 1,420 mi · 2,285 km | — |
| Route | VIE → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Watanuki has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Moriya's 0%).
| Opponent | Moriya | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Omar Jasika | L 46 46 | L 62 36 57 |
| Marat Sharipov | L 36 46 | L 76 57 26 |
| Tung-Lin Wu | L 26 26 | W 63 67 61 |
| Hayato Matsuoka | L 57 36 | L 46 26 |
| Andre Ilagan | L 26 67 | W 76 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Keisuke Saitoh
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Keegan Smith
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Omar Jasika
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Jia Qi Huang
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Blake Ellis
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Yuta Shimizu
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Maximus Jones
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Dominik Palan
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Semen Pankin
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Marat Sharipov
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Semen Pankin
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 31
Hayato Matsuoka
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Toby Samuel
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Andre Ilagan
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
August Holmgren
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–66 matches
| Metric | Moriya | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 56% |
| Sets won | 47% | 56% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moriya | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moriya | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
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