Hiroki Moriya vs Yosuke WatanukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hiroki Moriya and Yosuke Watanuki have met 4 times since 2018; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Loughborough in 2018 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Watanuki has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Moriya has taken 5 sets to Watanuki's 4. Their most recent meeting: Yosuke Watanuki won at Matsuyama Challenger (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moriya | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hiroki Moriya | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 48% | 12/25 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 7/26 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 20/51 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 26% | 6/23 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 10/20 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 7/21 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 18/20 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 12/20 | 60% | 9/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moriya 2, Watanuki 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moriya
🛡️ The Spoiler
Watanuki
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 58% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 311 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Yosuke Watanuki.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Nov 7, 2024
Matsuyama Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 25, 2022
Seoul
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 1, 2019
Playford
H Hard · Round of 64
May 23, 2018
Loughborough
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Moriya | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hiroki Moriya | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moriya | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 4–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.93 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -29.4% | -19.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.65u | -1.58u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moriya | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | TPE | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Watanuki has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Moriya's 20%).
| Opponent | Moriya | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Tung-Lin Wu | L 26 26 | W 63 67 61 |
| Hayato Matsuoka | L 57 36 | L 46 26 |
| Andre Ilagan | L 26 67 | W 76 75 |
| Omar Jasika | W 64 46 64 | L 62 36 57 |
| Rio Noguchi | L 46 46 | L 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kosuke Ogura
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 20
Tung-Lin Wu
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Hayato Matsuoka
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Thomas Fancutt
Lincoln challenger
Jul 13
Andreja Petrovic
Lincoln challenger
Jul 12
Jason Jung
Newport challenger
Jul 7
Alex Martinez
Newport challenger
Jul 5
Edward Winter
Cary challenger
Jun 29
Hayato Matsuoka
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Toby Samuel
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Andre Ilagan
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
August Holmgren
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Jack Kennedy
Cary Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Tung-Lin Wu
Cary Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Andre Ilagan
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 29
Vitaliy Sachko
Bratislava Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–51 matches
| Metric | Moriya | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 52% |
| Sets won | 47% | 53% |
| Games won | 49% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moriya | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moriya | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
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