Hiroki Moriya vs Maximus JonesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hiroki Moriya and Maximus Jones have met 1 time since 2026; Hiroki Moriya leads 1–0. Across all meetings Moriya has taken 2 sets to Jones's 0. Their most recent meeting: Hiroki Moriya won at Phan Thiet 3 Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moriya | Jones | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hiroki Moriya | Maximus Jones | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 17/32 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 9/34 | 42% | 10/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 24/66 | 48% | 20/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 9/29 | 12% | 2/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 14/29 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 10/28 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 23/26 | 82% | 14/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 47% | 8/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moriya 1, Jones 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moriya
🪃 Counterpuncher
Jones
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 9, 2026
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Moriya | Jones | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hiroki Moriya | Maximus Jones | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 6/13 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 5 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moriya | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 2.28 |
| ROI % | -22.1% | +27.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.87u | +1.66u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moriya | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 1,420 mi · 2,285 km | — |
| Route | VIE → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Jones has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Moriya's 22%).
| Opponent | Moriya | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Omar Jasika | L 46 46 | W 64 57 62 |
| Blake Ellis | L 46 75 36 | L 46 61 26 |
| Hayato Matsuoka | L 57 36 | W 64 64 |
| Philip Sekulic | W 64 76 | L 76 36 16 |
| Marat Sharipov | L 36 46 | W 63 76 |
| Sanhui Shin | W 75 63 | L 36 36 |
| Yasutaka Uchiyama | L 26 16 | L 46 64 46 |
| Rio Noguchi | L 46 46 | W 46 61 62 |
| Joel Schwaerzler | L 36 64 67 | W 16 63 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Keisuke Saitoh
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Keegan Smith
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Omar Jasika
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Jia Qi Huang
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Blake Ellis
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Yuta Shimizu
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Maximus Jones
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Dominik Palan
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Sebastian Gima
San Gregorio di Catania Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Hiroki Moriya
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Florent Bax
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Ivan Ivanov
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 2
Oskari Paldanius
Manacor Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 1
Alastair Gray
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Ilya Ivashka
Pozoblanco Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Tokyo · Semifinals
Jul 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–66 matches
| Metric | Moriya | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 43% |
| Sets won | 47% | 44% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moriya | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moriya | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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