Hiroki Moriya vs Keisuke SaitohPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hiroki Moriya and Keisuke Saitoh have met 1 time since 2026; Keisuke Saitoh leads 1–0. Across all meetings Moriya has taken 0 sets to Saitoh's 2. Their most recent meeting: Keisuke Saitoh won at Wuning 3 Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moriya | Saitoh | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hiroki Moriya | Keisuke Saitoh | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 17/32 | 69% | 36/52 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 9/34 | 13% | 3/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 24/66 | 25% | 19/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 9/29 | 59% | 22/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 14/29 | 62% | 18/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 10/28 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 23/26 | 98% | 42/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 84% | 36/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moriya 0, Saitoh 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moriya
🪃 Counterpuncher
Saitoh
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Hiroki Moriya.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 7, 2026
Wuning 3 Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Moriya | Saitoh | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hiroki Moriya | Keisuke Saitoh | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 75% | 18/24 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 6/13 | 33% | 8/24 |
| 5 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 0% | 0/24 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/24 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/24 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/24 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moriya | Saitoh |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 16–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 2.29 |
| ROI % | -22.1% | +18.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.87u | +4.18u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moriya | Saitoh |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,420 mi · 2,285 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | VIE → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Moriya and Saitoh posted a 80% win rate.
| Opponent | Moriya | Saitoh |
|---|---|---|
| Jay Dylan Hara Friend | L 26 06 | L 26 16 |
| Dominik Palan | W 46 61 62 | W 76 64 |
| Yusuke Takahashi | W 64 26 62 | W 46 63 62 |
| Koki Matsuda | W 46 64 60 | W 63 62 |
| Kuan-Yi Lee | W 76 46 64 | W 60 62 |
| Kosuke Ogura | W 63 61 | W 76 46 75 |
| Sanhui Shin | W 75 63 | W 67 60 75 |
| Hoyoung Roh | L 67 26 | W 64 61 |
| Tai Sach | W 67 60 64 | W 75 60 |
| Li Tu | W 16 64 76 | L 16 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Keisuke Saitoh
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Keegan Smith
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Omar Jasika
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Jia Qi Huang
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Blake Ellis
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Yuta Shimizu
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Maximus Jones
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Dominik Palan
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Wuning 3 Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 10
Akira Santillan
Wuning 3 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Hiroki Moriya
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Dominik Palan
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Yusuke Takahashi
Wuning 3 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Zhicheng Wang
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Mattia Bellucci
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Koki Matsuda
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 66–76 matches
| Metric | Moriya | Saitoh |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 68% |
| Sets won | 47% | 63% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moriya | Saitoh |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moriya | Saitoh |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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