Hiroki Moriya vs Keenan MayoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π―π΅Hiroki Moriya
#515 Β· 35 yrs Β· R
1 meeting Β· sets 2β0
πΊπΈKeenan Mayo
#1241 Β· 26 yrs Β· R
14wHiroki Moriya and Keenan Mayo have met 1 time since 2026; Hiroki Moriya leads 1β0. Across all meetings Moriya has taken 2 sets to Mayo's 0. Their most recent meeting: Hiroki Moriya won at UAMS Health Little Rock Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moriya | Mayo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hiroki Moriya | Keenan Mayo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 48% | 12/25 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 7/26 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 20/51 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 26% | 6/23 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 10/20 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 7/21 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 18/20 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 12/20 | 67% | 2/3 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moriya 1, Mayo 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moriya
π‘οΈ The Spoiler
Mayo
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
The π€ Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs π‘οΈ The Spoiler across 321 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Keenan Mayo.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 24, 2026
UAMS Health Little Rock Open
H Hard Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Moriya | Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4β5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.93 | - |
| ROI % | -29.4% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.65u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moriya | Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | β |
| Events | 1 | β |
| Matches | 2 | β |
| Distance | β | β |
| Route | TPE | β |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kosuke Ogura
M25 Taipei Β· 1st Round
Aug 20
Tung-Lin Wu
M25 Taipei Β· 2nd Round
Aug 20
Hayato Matsuoka
Lincoln Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jul 14
Thomas Fancutt
Lincoln challenger
Jul 13
Andreja Petrovic
Lincoln challenger
Jul 12
Jason Jung
Newport challenger
Jul 7
Alex Martinez
Newport challenger
Jul 5
Edward Winter
Cary challenger
Jun 29
Hiroki Moriya
UAMS Health Little Rock Open Β· 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Blaise Bicknell
M25 Las Vegas 1 Β· 2nd Round
Mar 26
Jack Karlsson Wistrand
M25 Las Vegas NV Β· Round of 32
Mar 25
Jack Karlsson Wistrand
M25 Las Vegas 1 Β· 1st Round
Mar 25
Evan Zhu
Cleveland Open Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 1
Karl Poling
Better Buzz Coffee San Diego Open Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 26
Elmar Ejupovic
M25 Guadalajara 1 Β· Semifinals
Nov 7
Matteo Covato
M25 Guadalajara 1 Β· Quarterfinals
Nov 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 10β51 matches
| Metric | Moriya | Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 40% |
| Sets won | 47% | 42% |
| Games won | 49% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moriya | Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moriya | Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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