Hiroki Moriya vs Keenan MayoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hiroki Moriya and Keenan Mayo have met 1 time since 2026; Hiroki Moriya leads 1–0. Across all meetings Moriya has taken 2 sets to Mayo's 0. Their most recent meeting: Hiroki Moriya won at UAMS Health Little Rock Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moriya | Mayo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hiroki Moriya | Keenan Mayo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 17/32 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 9/34 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 24/66 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 9/29 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 14/29 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 10/28 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 23/26 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 60% | 3/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moriya 1, Mayo 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moriya
🪃 Counterpuncher
Mayo
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Keenan Mayo.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 24, 2026
UAMS Health Little Rock Open
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moriya | Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | - |
| ROI % | -22.1% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.87u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moriya | Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Keisuke Saitoh
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Keegan Smith
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Omar Jasika
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Jia Qi Huang
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Blake Ellis
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Yuta Shimizu
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Maximus Jones
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Dominik Palan
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Hiroki Moriya
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Blaise Bicknell
M25 Las Vegas 1 · 2nd Round
Mar 26
Jack Karlsson Wistrand
M25 Las Vegas 1 · 1st Round
Mar 25
Alex Kobelt
M25 Las Vegas 1 · 3rd Round Qualifying
Mar 24
Andrej Markovic
M25 Las Vegas 1 · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 23
Evan Zhu
Cleveland Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 1
Karl Poling
Better Buzz Coffee San Diego Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 26
Jules Leroux
M25 Winston-Salem 1 · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jan 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 13–66 matches
| Metric | Moriya | Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 46% |
| Sets won | 47% | 47% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moriya | Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moriya | Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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