Head-to-Head

Himeno Sakatsume vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇯🇵Himeno Sakatsume

#114 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed

0–0

First meeting

🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez

#23 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed

Title4Won Singapore Tennis Open - SingaporeBeat 4 favorites

Upcoming match

Tournament: Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo
Level: WTA 500
Round: 1st Round
Surface: Hard
Date & time: October 27 · 2:00 AM ET

Book odds

Leylah Fernandez1.20

Himeno Sakatsume4.45

Set spread

Fernandez -1.51.55

Sakatsume +1.52.32

Game spread

Fernandez -5.51.86

Sakatsume +5.51.84

FernandezHard-court specialist (66%)SakatsumeHard-court specialist (82%)

Record at prices like this

Leylah Fernandez1.20implies 85%won 93%+8 pts

At 1.20 or shorter, Leylah Fernandez has won 43 of 46 (93%). The price implied 85%, so Leylah Fernandez has beaten it by 8 points.

Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.

Leylah Fernandez meets Himeno Sakatsume in the 1st Round of the Toray Pan Pacific Open in Tokyo on October 27, a hard court matchup between the world number 23 and number 114. Fernandez arrives off a loss but has won four of her last five matches; Sakatsume has played just one match in the past two weeks and has dropped her last two outings.

This will be the first meeting between Fernandez and Sakatsume. Both players have faced Katie Boulter, Leolia Jeanjean, and Shuai Zhang recently, with Fernandez winning those encounters while Sakatsume lost to all three. Over their last 10 matches overall, Fernandez stands at 7-3; Sakatsume at 6-10.

Fernandez relies on serve and first-strike power, converting 70% on hard courts in her recent record sample. Sakatsume performs best when dictating points early but has compiled a 10-10 hard court record, revealing inconsistency on the surface. The match demands Fernandez sustain her serve pressure throughout, while Sakatsume must settle into rallies and build rhythm against an opponent who generates pace from the baseline.

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Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

Indicator	Sakatsume	Fernandez
Indicator	Himeno Sakatsume		Leylah Fernandez
Wins in straight sets	71%	29/41	65%	20/31
Wins a set when losing	41%	12/29	33%	9/27
Goes to a deciding set	34%	24/70	34%	20/58
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite	46%	16/35	46%	17/37
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog	55%	16/29	62%	13/21
Tiebreak sets won	63%	5/8	19%	3/16
Wins after taking set 1	83%	34/41	77%	24/31
Wins 2-0 after taking set 1	71%	29/41	65%	20/31

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Sakatsume

🏹 Frontrunner

Fast startsAggressive openersMomentum-drivenStrong holds

Fernandez

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Matchup analysis

🏹 Frontrunner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 685 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

First career meeting

Sakatsume and Fernandez have never faced each other on tour.

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

Outcome	Sakatsume	Fernandez
Outcome	Himeno Sakatsume		Leylah Fernandez
1 or more	71%	10/14	90%	18/20
3 or more	36%	5/14	45%	9/20
5 or more	0%	0/14	20%	4/20
10 or more	0%	0/14	0%	0/20
15 or more	0%	0/14	0%	0/20
20 or more	0%	0/14	0%	0/20

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Sakatsume	Fernandez
W-L	9–7	15–7
Avg odds	1.96	2.14
ROI %	+2.8%	+30.0%
Units P/L	+0.45u	+6.60u

Travel

Last 30 days

Metric	Sakatsume	Fernandez
Countries	3	5
Events	3	5
Matches	5	11
Distance	—	4,994 mi · 8,037 km
Route	ESP → SUI → POR	SGP → ROU → CZE → FRA → POR

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Fernandez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Sakatsume's 17%).

Opponent	Sakatsume	Fernandez
Katie Boulter	L 36 16	W 67 63 63
Alycia Parks	W 64 63	W 64 63
Shuai Zhang	L 64 26 16	W 63 62
Leolia Jeanjean	L 63 36 26	W 61 75
Alexandra Eala	L 46 06	L 26 67
Polina Kudermetova	L 57 26	W 62 61

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Sakatsume

LLWWWLLW

Katie Boulter

Japan Open - Osaka · 1st Round

Oct 20

Ayla Aksu

Samsun Open - Samsun · Semifinals

Oct 10

Simona Waltert

Samsun Open - Samsun · Quarterfinals

Oct 9

Viktoria Hruncakova

Samsun Open - Samsun · 2nd Round

Oct 7

Dominika Salkova

Samsun Open - Samsun · 1st Round

Oct 5

Taylah Preston

Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round

Sep 22

Cristina Bucsa

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

6⁶7

76⁰

6⁶7

Sep 3

Anhelina Kalinina

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

Aug 31

Fernandez

LWWWWLWW

Elena Rybakina

Ningbo Open - Ningbo · Final

Oct 25

Marie Bouzkova

Ningbo Open - Ningbo · Semifinals

Oct 24

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Ningbo Open - Ningbo · Quarterfinals

Oct 23

Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Ningbo Open - Ningbo · 2nd Round

6³7

Oct 21

Elise Mertens

Ningbo Open - Ningbo · 1st Round

Oct 19

Jelena Ostapenko

Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round

Oct 15

Han Shi

Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 2nd Round

Oct 14