Harriet Dart vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇬🇧Harriet Dart
#84 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
7Title52 meetings · sets 0–4
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#24 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
9wHarriet Dart and Madison Keys have met 2 times since 2022; Madison Keys leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Melbourne Summer Set 2 - Melbourne in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Keys leads 2–0. Keys has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Dart has taken 0 sets to Keys's 4. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Dart | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Harriet Dart | Madison Keys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 41% | 16/39 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 11/23 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 55% | 34/62 | 35% | 17/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 12/33 | 57% | 23/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 19/27 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 5/10 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 84% | 26/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 16/30 | 81% | 25/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Dart 0, Keys 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Dart
👑 The Complete Package
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 4,809 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Harriet Dart.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 15, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Jan 5, 2022
Melbourne Summer Set 2 - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Dart | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Harriet Dart | Madison Keys | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 19/20 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 55% | 11/20 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 4/20 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Dart | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18–4 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.33 | 1.34 |
| ROI % | +51.4% | -9.4% |
| Units P/L | +11.31u | -0.66u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Dart | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 10 | — |
| Distance | 1,559 mi · 2,509 km | — |
| Route | SUI → ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Dart and Keys posted a 57% win rate.
| Opponent | Dart | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Talia Gibson | L 57 67 | W 64 64 |
| Alina Korneeva | W 64 64 | W 75 64 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 36 63 62 | W 46 64 62 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 57 64 63 | L 63 46 46 |
| Petra Marcinko | L 16 63 16 | W |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 63 36 57 | L 36 61 46 |
| Diane Parry | W 62 61 | L |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lilli Tagger
Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou · Final
Nov 1
Xinran Sun
Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou · Semifinals
Oct 31
Paula Badosa
Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou · Quarterfinals
Oct 30
Janice Tjen
Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou · 2nd Round
Oct 28
Tatiana Prozorova
Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou · 1st Round
Oct 26
Mei Yamaguchi
Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 25
Cheuk Ying Shek
Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 24
Talia Gibson
Japan Open - Osaka · 1st Round
Oct 19
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Anna Bondar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alina Korneeva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–64 matches
| Metric | Dart | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 71% |
| Sets won | 56% | 67% |
| Games won | 53% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Dart | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Dart | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.