Hanyi Liu vs Kaichi UchidaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Zhangjiagang Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- August 30 · 2:55 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
Priced around 2.46 or longer, Hanyi Liu has won 6 of 14 matches, 43% against a fair-price expectation of 28%.
Priced around 1.50 or shorter, Kaichi Uchida has won 30 of 37 matches, 81% against a fair-price expectation of 69%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Hanyi Liu and Kaichi Uchida meet next at the Zhangjiagang Challenger on August 30 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Liu | Uchida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hanyi Liu | Kaichi Uchida | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 15/19 | 70% | 26/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 4/17 | 31% | 10/32 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 22% | 8/36 | 30% | 21/69 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 78% | 7/9 | 61% | 23/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 11/20 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 4/9 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 86% | 30/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 74% | 26/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Liu
🪃 Counterpuncher
Uchida
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Kaichi Uchida.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Liu and Uchida have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Liu | Uchida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hanyi Liu | Kaichi Uchida | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 3 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 25% | 1/4 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Liu | Uchida |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–2 | 0–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.00 | 3.16 |
| ROI % | +35.4% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +4.60u | -6.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Liu | Uchida |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Uchida has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Liu's 33%).
| Opponent | Liu | Uchida |
|---|---|---|
| Tianhui Zhang | W 57 62 63 | L 16 67 |
| Johan Nikles | L 26 06 | W 64 61 |
| Masamichi Imamura | L 46 16 | W 36 75 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Chase Ferguson
M15 Maanshan · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Xing Dao Chen
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Aug 26
Hoyoung Roh
M15 Wuning · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Jia Hu
M15 Wuning · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Kosuke Shibano
M15 Wuning · 1st Round
Jul 8
Zhao Zhao
M15 Wuning · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Yuta Kawahashi
M15 Wuning · 1st Round
Jun 30
Artem Alekseychuk
M15 Maanshan · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Tianhui Zhang
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Aug 26
Alexis Galarneau
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Daniel Milavsky
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 9
Jack Kennedy
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 29
Bernard Tomic
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Quinn Vandecasteele
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 19
Max Houkes
Tunis Challenger · 1st Round
May 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 36–69 matches
| Metric | Liu | Uchida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 54% |
| Sets won | 53% | 53% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |