Guy Den Ouden vs Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇳🇱Guy Den Ouden
#321 · 24 yrs · R
7w2 meetings · sets 2–3
🇧🇷Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
#255 · 25 yrs · R
Guy Den Ouden and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Bunschoten Challenger in 2025 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Ouden has taken 2 sets to Almeida's 3. Their most recent meeting: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida won at Bonn Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Den Ouden | Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Guy Den Ouden | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 10/16 | 72% | 33/46 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 14/36 | 36% | 26/72 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 32% | 6/19 | 49% | 22/45 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 64% | 9/14 | 85% | 11/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 78% | 7/9 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 85% | 40/47 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 10/18 | 70% | 33/47 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Den Ouden 0, Pucinelli De Almeida 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ouden
🪃 Counterpuncher
Almeida
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Guy Den Ouden.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 28, 2026
Bonn Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Jul 15, 2025
Bunschoten Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ouden | Almeida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Guy Den Ouden | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 80% | 16/20 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 35% | 7/20 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 5% | 1/20 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ouden | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–3 | 14–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 1.86 |
| ROI % | +7.4% | +0.2% |
| Units P/L | +0.67u | +0.05u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ouden | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 835 mi · 1,344 km |
| Route | — | ARG → BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Almeida has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Ouden's 0%).
| Opponent | Ouden | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Genaro Alberto Olivieri | L 75 46 57 | W 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Zsombor Piros
Hagen Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Maxim Mrva
Hagen Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Alexandre Muller
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Tom Gentzsch
Bunschoten Challenger · Final
Jul 19
Kimmer Coppejans
Bunschoten Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 18
Ryan Nijboer
Bunschoten Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Antofagasta Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Antofagasta Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Alex Barrena
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Tomas Barrios Vera
Curitiba Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Curitiba Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Hugo Dellien
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Remy Bertola
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, BRA-SUI 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 36–72 matches
| Metric | Ouden | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 64% |
| Sets won | 47% | 62% |
| Games won | 50% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ouden | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ouden | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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