Head-to-Head

Garbine Muguruza vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇪🇸Garbine Muguruza

Unranked · 32 yrs · Right-Handed

187wBack after 187w off

1–3

4 meetings · sets 3–7

🇺🇸Madison Keys

#23 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed

Garbine Muguruza and Madison Keys have met 4 times since 2016; Madison Keys leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Rome in 2016 on clay. On hard courts Keys leads 2–1. Across all meetings Muguruza has taken 3 sets to Keys's 7. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Cincinnati (2019).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

Indicator	Muguruza
Indicator	Garbine Muguruza	Madison Keys
Wins in straight sets	—	75%	24/32
Wins a set when losing	—	53%	8/15
Goes to a deciding set	—	34%	16/47
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite	—	59%	22/37
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog	—	38%	3/8
Tiebreak sets won	—	45%	5/11
Wins after taking set 1	—	83%	25/30
Wins 2-0 after taking set 1	—	80%	24/30

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muguruza 0, Keys 2).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Muguruza

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Keys

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

4 career meetings, newest first

Aug 14, 2019

Cincinnati

H Hard · Round of 64

7⁷6⁴

6⁵7⁷

Keys

Aug 17, 2017

Cincinnati

H Hard · Round of 16

7⁷6³

Muguruza

Aug 5, 2017

Stanford

H Hard · Semifinals

Keys

May 14, 2016

Rome

C Clay · Semifinals

6⁵7⁷

Keys

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Muguruza	Keys
W-L	-	13–6
Avg odds	-	1.44
ROI %	-	-10.3%
Units P/L	-	-1.95u

Travel

Last 30 days

Metric	Muguruza	Keys
Countries	—	2
Events	—	2
Matches	—	6
Distance	—	411 mi · 662 km
Route	—	CAN → POL

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Muguruza

LLLLLWLW

Linda Noskova

Open 6 Sens - Lyon · 1st Round

Jan 30

Elise Mertens

Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round

6³7

Jan 17

Belinda Bencic

Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide · 1st Round

Jan 9

Bianca Andreescu

Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide · 1st Round

6³7

Jan 1

Liudmila Samsonova

Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo · Quarterfinals

Sep 23

Despina Papamichail

Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo · 2nd Round

Sep 21

Petra Kvitova

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

6¹⁰7

Sep 3

Linda Fruhvirtova

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

Sep 1

Keys

LWWWLWLL

Sara Bejlek

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals

6⁵7

Aug 21

Xiyu Wang

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

76³

Aug 20

Katerina Siniakova

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

Aug 18

Daria Snigur

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

Aug 16

Marta Kostyuk

National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round

Aug 7

Antonia Ruzic

National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round

Aug 4

Liudmila Samsonova

Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round

Jul 28

Linda Noskova

Wimbledon - London · 4th Round

6²7

Jul 6

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ MuguruzaKeys ahead↓ Keys

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–47 matches

Metric	Muguruza	Keys
Matches won	-	68%
Sets won	-	65%
Games won	-	56%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

Stage	Muguruza	Keys
WTA 500	0	1
WTA 1000	1	2

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

Surface	Muguruza	Keys
Hard	1	2
Clay	0	1

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Garbine Muguruza vs Madison Keys FAQ

Madison Keys leads the head-to-head 3–1 over 4 meetings.

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Style Matchup

Previous meetings

Player ROI

Travel

Recent Form

Rivalry momentum

Win rate

Record by tier

By surface

More Muguruza rivalries

More Keys rivalries

Garbine Muguruza vs Madison Keys FAQ

Who leads the Garbine Muguruza vs Madison Keys head-to-head?

Who won the last Garbine Muguruza vs Madison Keys match?

How many times have Garbine Muguruza and Madison Keys played?

Who leads the Garbine Muguruza vs Madison Keys head-to-head on hard courts?

When did Garbine Muguruza and Madison Keys last play each other?