Gabriel Diallo vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇨🇦Gabriel Diallo
#121 · 25 yrs · R
10w1 meeting · sets 2–1

🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#258 · 33 yrs · R
5wGabriel Diallo and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 1 time since 2024; Gabriel Diallo leads 1–0. Across all meetings Diallo has taken 2 sets to Baena's 1. Their most recent meeting: Gabriel Diallo won at Hong Kong (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Diallo | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gabriel Diallo | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 6/11 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 6/18 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 11/29 | 43% | 20/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 23% | 3/13 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 6/13 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 42% | 8/19 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 6/8 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 6/8 | 58% | 14/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Diallo 0, Carballes Baena 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Diallo
🤖 Servebot
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Gabriel Diallo.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Dec 31, 2024
Hong Kong
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Diallo | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–2 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.02 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -39.3% | -54.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.18u | -3.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Diallo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Baena's 0%).
| Opponent | Diallo | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Jesper de Jong | W 64 76 | L 36 26 |
| Alex Molcan | L 26 26 | L 60 36 46 |
| Andrea Vavassori | L 36 67 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kyrian Jacquet
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Tristan Boyer
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 28
Lorenzo Sonego
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Benjamin Bonzi
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Benjamin Bonzi
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jack Draper
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 32–46 matches
| Metric | Diallo | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | 52% |
| Sets won | 41% | 52% |
| Games won | 47% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Diallo | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Diallo | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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