Gabriel Diallo vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇦Gabriel Diallo
#114 · 24 yrs · R
4w1 meeting · sets 2–1
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#209 · 33 yrs · R
5wGabriel Diallo and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 1 time since 2024; Gabriel Diallo leads 1–0. Across all meetings Diallo has taken 2 sets to Baena's 1. Their most recent meeting: Gabriel Diallo won at Hong Kong (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Diallo | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gabriel Diallo | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 9/14 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 13/34 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 6/17 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 7/14 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 8/21 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 9/13 | 85% | 22/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 9/13 | 58% | 15/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Diallo 0, Carballes Baena 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Diallo
🤖 Servebot
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Gabriel Diallo.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Dec 31, 2024
Hong Kong
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Diallo | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Gabriel Diallo | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Diallo | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.31 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -35.0% | -20.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.80u | -2.84u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Diallo | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CAN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Diallo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Baena's 0%).
| Opponent | Diallo | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Jesper de Jong | W 64 76 | L 36 26 |
| Alex Molcan | L 26 26 | L 60 36 46 |
| Andrea Vavassori | L 36 67 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kyrian Jacquet
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Tristan Boyer
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 28
Lorenzo Sonego
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Benjamin Bonzi
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Jack Draper
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Terence Atmane
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Alex de Minaur
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mark Ceban
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Sebastian Ofner
Parma Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Stefano Travaglia
Parma Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Miguel Damas
Parma Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–47 matches
| Metric | Diallo | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 55% |
| Sets won | 44% | 54% |
| Games won | 49% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Diallo | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Diallo | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.