Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kei NishikoriPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Felix Auger-Aliassime and Kei Nishikori have met 2 times since 2019; Kei Nishikori leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Barcelona in 2019 on clay. Nishikori has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Auger-Aliassime has taken 0 sets to Nishikori's 4. Their most recent meeting: Kei Nishikori won at ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Auger-Aliassime | Nishikori | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Felix Auger-Aliassime | Kei Nishikori | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 25/40 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 19% | 3/16 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 18/56 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 66% | 23/35 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 31/33 | 82% | 9/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 25/33 | 45% | 5/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Auger-Aliassime 0, Nishikori 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Auger-Aliassime
🤖 Servebot
Nishikori
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Felix Auger-Aliassime.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 1, 2021
ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 16, 2019
Barcelona
C Clay · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Auger-Aliassime | Nishikori | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Felix Auger-Aliassime | Kei Nishikori | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 10 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Auger-Aliassime | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–3 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | 2.70 |
| ROI % | -11.2% | -15.7% |
| Units P/L | -1.12u | -1.41u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Auger-Aliassime | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Auger-Aliassime has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Nishikori's 25%).
| Opponent | Auger-Aliassime | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | L 36 46 | L 46 46 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 67 63 63 | W 64 16 75 |
| Michael Zheng | W 76 62 61 | L 36 16 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 75 61 | L |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Karen Khachanov
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Arthur Rinderknech
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Quentin Halys
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Karen Khachanov
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rinky Hijikata
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Frances Tiafoe
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rei Sakamoto
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Michael Antonius
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Sebastian Ofner
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Francisco Comesana
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Michael Zheng
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 21–68 matches
| Metric | Auger-Aliassime | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 52% |
| Sets won | 64% | 50% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Auger-Aliassime | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Auger-Aliassime | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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