Eva Lys vs Sorana CirsteaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇩🇪Eva Lys
#98 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
433 meetings · sets 3–4
🇷🇴Sorana Cirstea
#17 · 36 yrs · Right-Handed
Eva Lys and Sorana Cirstea have met 3 times since 2023; Sorana Cirstea leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Transylvania Open - Cluj-Napoca in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Cirstea has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Lys has taken 3 sets to Cirstea's 4. Their most recent meeting: Sorana Cirstea won at French Open - Paris (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lys | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Eva Lys | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 7/12 | 76% | 29/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 11/29 | 32% | 18/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 5/12 | 71% | 27/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 1/3 | 79% | 11/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 10/14 | 92% | 34/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 7/14 | 78% | 29/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lys 1, Cirstea 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lys
🪃 Counterpuncher
Cirstea
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 7,380 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 27, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 20, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 17, 2023
Transylvania Open - Cluj-Napoca
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Lys | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Eva Lys | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| 1 or more | 60% | 3/5 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Lys | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–4 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.76 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | -58.0% | -38.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.90u | -3.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Lys | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cirstea has a higher win rate against shared opponents (43% vs Lys's 14%).
| Opponent | Lys | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Diana Shnaider | L 57 16 | W 62 76 |
| Coco Gauff | L 36 46 | L 46 36 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 46 64 36 | L 36 64 26 |
| Katie Boulter | W 64 36 64 | W 63 61 |
| Shuai Zhang | L 46 36 | W 63 64 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 63 36 46 | L 36 26 |
| Leylah Fernandez | L 46 16 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Emma Navarro
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 23
Elina Svitolina
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Magdalena Frech
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 1st Round
Jun 16
Sorana Cirstea
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Petra Marcinko
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Naomi Osaka
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 8
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Nikola Bartunkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kimberly Birrell
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Sara Bejlek
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Emma Raducanu
The HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Maddison Inglis
The HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 29–56 matches
| Metric | Lys | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 68% |
| Sets won | 43% | 65% |
| Games won | 47% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Lys | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Lys | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.