Eva Lys vs Sorana CirsteaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇩🇪Eva Lys
#136 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
33 meetings · sets 3–4
🇷🇴Sorana Cirstea
#16 · 36 yrs · Right-Handed
5wEva Lys and Sorana Cirstea have met 3 times since 2023; Sorana Cirstea leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Transylvania Open - Cluj-Napoca in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Cirstea has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Lys has taken 3 sets to Cirstea's 4. Their most recent meeting: Sorana Cirstea won at French Open - Paris (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lys | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Eva Lys | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 6/10 | 78% | 32/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 12/30 | 30% | 17/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 23% | 3/13 | 75% | 30/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 1/2 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 93% | 37/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 46% | 6/13 | 80% | 32/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lys 1, Cirstea 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lys
🪃 Counterpuncher
Cirstea
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,583 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sorana Cirstea.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 27, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 20, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 17, 2023
Transylvania Open - Cluj-Napoca
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Lys | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Eva Lys | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| 1 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Lys | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 4–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.62 | 1.98 |
| ROI % | -65.0% | -20.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.55u | -1.40u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Lys | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 11,989 mi · 19,294 km | — |
| Route | BRA → POR → ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cirstea has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Lys's 17%).
| Opponent | Lys | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Mirra Andreeva | L 06 26 | L 06 36 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 57 16 | W 62 76 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 46 64 36 | L 36 64 26 |
| Katie Boulter | W 64 36 64 | W 63 61 |
| Shuai Zhang | L 46 36 | W 63 64 |
| Leylah Fernandez | L 46 16 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Xinran Sun
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Gabriela Ce
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Mirra Andreeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Gabriela Andrea Knutson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Anna Blinkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Jasmine Paolini
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Diane Parry
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Julia Grabher
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Anna Kalinskaya
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Nikola Bartunkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 30–57 matches
| Metric | Lys | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 33% | 72% |
| Sets won | 39% | 69% |
| Games won | 44% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Lys | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Lys | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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