Eva Lys vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇩🇪Eva Lys
#98 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
432 meetings · sets 2–3
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#83 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
5wEva Lys and Paula Badosa have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin in 2025 on grass. Across all meetings Lys has taken 2 sets to Badosa's 3. Their most recent meeting: Eva Lys won at Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lys | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Eva Lys | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 7/12 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 11/29 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 5/12 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 1/3 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 10/14 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 7/14 | 78% | 18/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lys 0, Badosa 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lys
🪃 Counterpuncher
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 7,380 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 14, 2026
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 16, 2025
Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Lys | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Eva Lys | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 60% | 3/5 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 35% | 6/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Lys | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–4 | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.76 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | -58.0% | +18.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.90u | +3.09u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Lys | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Lys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Badosa's 33%).
| Opponent | Lys | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Emma Navarro | L 67 36 | L 64 36 57 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 36 26 | L 75 26 57 |
| Coco Gauff | L 36 46 | W 16 63 62 |
| Suzan Lamens | W 62 62 | W 63 62 |
| Iva Jovic | W 63 46 75 | L 26 16 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 63 16 64 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Emma Navarro
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 23
Elina Svitolina
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Magdalena Frech
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 1st Round
Jun 16
Sorana Cirstea
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Petra Marcinko
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Naomi Osaka
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 8
Mayar Sherif
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Panna Udvardy
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Katarzyna Kawa
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 22
Tamara Zidansek
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Semifinals
Jul 18
Panna Udvardy
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alevtina Ibragimova
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anhelina Kalinina
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Simona Waltert
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 29–39 matches
| Metric | Lys | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 59% |
| Sets won | 43% | 59% |
| Games won | 47% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Lys | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Lys | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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