Eva Lys vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇩🇪Eva Lys
#136 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
32 meetings · sets 2–3
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#58 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Eva Lys and Paula Badosa have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin in 2025 on grass. Across all meetings Lys has taken 2 sets to Badosa's 3. Their most recent meeting: Eva Lys won at Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lys | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Eva Lys | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 6/10 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 12/30 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 23% | 3/13 | 51% | 19/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 1/2 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 46% | 6/13 | 83% | 20/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lys 0, Badosa 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lys
🪃 Counterpuncher
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Paula Badosa.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 14, 2026
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 16, 2025
Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Lys | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Eva Lys | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Lys | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.62 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | -65.0% | -4.9% |
| Units P/L | -4.55u | -0.64u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Lys | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 11,989 mi · 19,294 km | 10,936 mi · 17,599 km |
| Route | BRA → POR → ROU | BRA → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Badosa has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Lys's 29%).
| Opponent | Lys | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 16 26 | W 26 62 75 |
| Nadia Podoroska | L 57 26 | L 36 46 |
| Katarzyna Kawa | W 57 61 64 | W 75 64 |
| Panna Udvardy | L | W 64 61 |
| Emma Navarro | L 67 36 | L 64 36 57 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 36 26 | L |
| Suzan Lamens | W 62 62 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Xinran Sun
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Gabriela Ce
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Mirra Andreeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Gabriela Andrea Knutson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Anna Blinkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Daria Kasatkina
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Sep 19
Mary Stoiana
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Jazmin Ortenzi
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Justina Mikulskyte
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Daria Kasatkina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 30–45 matches
| Metric | Lys | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 33% | 60% |
| Sets won | 39% | 59% |
| Games won | 44% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Lys | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Lys | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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