Eva Lys vs Katie BoulterPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฉ๐ชEva Lys
#136 ยท 24 yrs ยท Right-Handed
32 meetings ยท sets 4โ1

๐ฌ๐งKatie Boulter
#54 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Eva Lys and Katie Boulter have met 2 times since 2025; Eva Lys leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo in 2025 on hard. Lys has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Lys has taken 4 sets to Boulter's 1. Their most recent meeting: Eva Lys won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lys | Boulter | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Eva Lys | Katie Boulter | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 6/10 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 12/30 | 36% | 15/42 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 23% | 3/13 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 1/2 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 79% | 19/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 46% | 6/13 | 54% | 13/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lys 1, Boulter 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lys
๐ช Counterpuncher
Boulter
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฅ Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Katie Boulter.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 6, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Oct 20, 2025
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Lys | Boulter | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Eva Lys | Katie Boulter | ||
| 1 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Lys | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2โ5 | 3โ5 |
| Avg odds | 2.62 | 3.03 |
| ROI % | -65.0% | -36.1% |
| Units P/L | -4.55u | -2.89u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Lys | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 11,989 mi ยท 19,294 km | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | BRA โ POR โ ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Boulter has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Lys's 0%).
| Opponent | Lys | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 16 26 | L 67 67 |
| Katie Volynets | L 75 26 06 | W 75 06 64 |
| Leylah Fernandez | L 46 16 | L 76 36 36 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 36 26 | L 57 46 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 36 06 | L 36 16 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | L 16 46 | W 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Xinran Sun
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Korea Open - Seoul ยท 1st Round
Sep 22
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo ยท 2nd Round
Sep 17
Gabriela Ce
SP Open - Sao Paulo ยท 1st Round
Sep 16
Mirra Andreeva
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 4
Gabriela Andrea Knutson
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 15
Anna Blinkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Mai Hontama
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Karolina Muchova
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 2
Carol Young Suh Lee
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Katie Volynets
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Kayla Cross
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Ashlyn Krueger
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 30โ42 matches
| Metric | Lys | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 33% | 50% |
| Sets won | 39% | 49% |
| Games won | 44% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Lys | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Lys | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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