Emma Navarro vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Emma Navarro
#27 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
5w1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#71 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
4TitleEmma Navarro and Tatjana Maria have met 1 time since 2026; Emma Navarro leads 1–0. Across all meetings Navarro has taken 2 sets to Maria's 0. Their most recent meeting: Emma Navarro won at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Navarro | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Emma Navarro | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 14/25 | 94% | 30/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 29% | 8/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 21/45 | 17% | 10/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 10/27 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 12/17 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 6/12 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 86% | 31/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 14/22 | 83% | 30/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Navarro 1, Maria 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Navarro
💥 Big Hitter
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Emma Navarro and Tatjana Maria are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Feb 9, 2026
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Navarro | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Emma Navarro | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 10 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Navarro | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.41 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | +21.7% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | +2.17u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Navarro | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | TUR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Navarro has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Maria's 30%).
| Opponent | Navarro | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Caty Mcnally | W 36 62 63 | L 64 67 16 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 36 | L 26 57 |
| Katie Volynets | L 36 26 | W 62 64 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 26 64 16 | L 36 06 |
| Iva Jovic | L 06 36 | L 16 26 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 61 64 | W 64 64 |
| Marie Bouzkova | L 67 64 26 | L 57 06 |
| Anna Bondar | W 67 63 62 | L 67 57 |
| Janice Tjen | W 64 63 | W 63 62 |
| Elise Mertens | L 26 26 | L 57 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Anna Kalinskaya
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Karolina Muchova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Caty Mcnally
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Lois Boisson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anhelina Kalinina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alina Korneeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Madison Brengle
W100 Templeton · Final
Oct 4
Malaika Rapolu
W100 Templeton · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Lea Ma
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 30
Taylor Townsend
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Nikola Bartunkova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jelena Ostapenko
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–60 matches
| Metric | Navarro | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 53% |
| Sets won | 54% | 55% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Navarro | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Navarro | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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