Emma Navarro vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Emma Navarro
#27 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#79 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
Emma Navarro and Tatjana Maria have met 1 time since 2026; Emma Navarro leads 1–0. Across all meetings Navarro has taken 2 sets to Maria's 0. Their most recent meeting: Emma Navarro won at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Navarro | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Emma Navarro | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 13/25 | 97% | 29/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 11/22 | 23% | 7/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 23/47 | 13% | 8/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 11/30 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 39% | 13/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 13/22 | 85% | 29/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Navarro 1, Maria 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Navarro
🤖 Servebot
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Feb 9, 2026
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Navarro | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Emma Navarro | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 91% | 21/23 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 61% | 14/23 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 30% | 7/23 |
| 10 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 9% | 2/23 |
| 15 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Navarro | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 17–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.86 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | +0.2% | +8.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.03u | +2.03u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Navarro | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Navarro has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Maria's 30%).
| Opponent | Navarro | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 36 | L 26 57 |
| Caty Mcnally | L 64 06 46 | L 64 67 16 |
| Katie Volynets | L 36 26 | W 62 64 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 26 64 16 | L 36 06 |
| Iva Jovic | L 06 36 | L 16 26 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 61 64 | W 64 64 |
| Marie Bouzkova | L 67 64 26 | L 57 06 |
| Viktorija Golubic | W 76 62 | L 36 36 |
| Anna Bondar | W 67 63 62 | L 67 57 |
| Janice Tjen | W 64 63 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anhelina Kalinina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alina Korneeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Sofia Kenin
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Paula Badosa
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Dayana Yastremska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Talia Gibson
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Katie Volynets
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Final
Jul 12
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Semifinals
Jul 11
Lucrezia Stefanini
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–60 matches
| Metric | Navarro | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 50% |
| Sets won | 52% | 52% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Navarro | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Navarro | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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