Elina Svitolina vs Maria SakkariPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Elina Svitolina
#6 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
6 meetings · sets 9–6
🇬🇷Maria Sakkari
#35 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Elina Svitolina and Maria Sakkari have met 6 times since 2019; Elina Svitolina leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon in 2019 on grass. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Svitolina has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Svitolina has taken 9 sets to Sakkari's 6. Their most recent meeting: Elina Svitolina won at China Open - Beijing (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Svitolina | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elina Svitolina | Maria Sakkari | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 28/45 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 4/14 | 32% | 7/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/59 | 33% | 15/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 25/46 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 9/12 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 11/17 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 35/35 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 28/35 | 64% | 16/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Svitolina 2, Sakkari 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Svitolina
👑 The Complete Package
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elina Svitolina.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Oct 5, 2026
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 3rd Round
Apr 29, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 4th Round
Jul 27, 2021
Olympics - Tokyo
H Hard · 3rd Round
Oct 21, 2020
J&T Banka Ostrava Open - Ostrava
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 2, 2019
San Jose
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 3, 2019
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Svitolina | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elina Svitolina | Maria Sakkari | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 3 or more | 60% | 9/15 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 50% | 7/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Svitolina | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.43 | 2.17 |
| ROI % | -6.7% | -19.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | -2.69u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Svitolina | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km |
| Route | ROU | SGP → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Svitolina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Sakkari's 30%).
| Opponent | Svitolina | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Qinwen Zheng | L 36 67 | L 64 67 46 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 36 61 36 | L 64 16 16 |
| Coco Gauff | W 64 67 62 | L 16 46 |
| Polina Kudermetova | W 76 64 | W 60 76 |
| Linda Noskova | W 76 75 | W 75 76 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 26 64 64 | L 46 16 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 46 62 46 | L 63 46 16 |
| Paula Badosa | W | L 36 46 |
| Varvara Gracheva | W 63 61 | W 76 60 |
| Mirra Andreeva | W 62 64 | L 06 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Ann Li
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Maria Sakkari
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katerina Siniakova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Anna Kalinskaya
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Maya Joint
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Solana Sierra
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Tereza Valentova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Elina Svitolina
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Storm Hunter
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Nao Hibino
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Linda Fruhvirtova
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 22
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Robin Montgomery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–59 matches
| Metric | Svitolina | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 76% | 52% |
| Sets won | 68% | 51% |
| Games won | 57% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Svitolina | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Svitolina | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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