Elina Svitolina vs Maria SakkariPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Elina Svitolina
#9 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 7–6
🇬🇷Maria Sakkari
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Elina Svitolina and Maria Sakkari have met 5 times since 2019; Elina Svitolina leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon in 2019 on grass. On hard courts Sakkari leads 2–1. Svitolina has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Svitolina has taken 7 sets to Sakkari's 6. Their most recent meeting: Elina Svitolina won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Svitolina | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elina Svitolina | Maria Sakkari | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 25/41 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 4/13 | 23% | 5/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 20/54 | 30% | 13/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 21/39 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 77% | 10/13 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 11/15 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 31/32 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 25/32 | 59% | 13/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Svitolina 1, Sakkari 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Svitolina
👑 The Complete Package
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 1,830 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elina Svitolina.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Apr 29, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 4th Round
Jul 27, 2021
Olympics - Tokyo
H Hard · 3rd Round
Oct 21, 2020
J&T Banka Ostrava Open - Ostrava
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 2, 2019
San Jose
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 3, 2019
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Svitolina | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elina Svitolina | Maria Sakkari | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 3 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Svitolina | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.52 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | -18.9% | -8.9% |
| Units P/L | -2.46u | -1.25u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Svitolina | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 4 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Svitolina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Sakkari's 30%).
| Opponent | Svitolina | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | L 36 61 36 | L 64 16 16 |
| Coco Gauff | W 64 67 62 | L 16 46 |
| Polina Kudermetova | W 76 64 | W 60 76 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 63 46 46 | L 16 26 |
| Linda Noskova | W 76 75 | W 75 76 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 26 64 64 | L 46 16 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 46 62 46 | L 63 46 16 |
| Paula Badosa | W 57 62 75 | L 36 46 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | W 64 62 | L 62 36 46 |
| Varvara Gracheva | W 63 61 | W 76 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tereza Valentova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Amanda Anisimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Anastasia Potapova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Aug 1
Polina Kudermetova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Kamilla Rakhimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Zeynep Sonmez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens · Final
Jul 19
Alina Korneeva
Athens Open - Athens · Semifinals
Jul 18
Alycia Parks
Athens Open - Athens · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Harriet Dart
Athens Open - Athens · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–54 matches
| Metric | Svitolina | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 76% | 49% |
| Sets won | 67% | 47% |
| Games won | 57% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Svitolina | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Svitolina | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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