Elina Svitolina vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπ¦Elina Svitolina
#6 Β· 31 yrs Β· Right-Handed
2 meetings Β· sets 3β2

π¨π¦Leylah Fernandez
#25 Β· 23 yrs Β· Left-Handed
TitleElina Svitolina and Leylah Fernandez have met 2 times since 2020; they are level 1β1. Their first meeting came at Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey in 2020 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1β1. Across all meetings Svitolina has taken 3 sets to Fernandez's 2. Their most recent meeting: Leylah Fernandez won at U.S. Open - New York (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Svitolina | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elina Svitolina | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 28/45 | 69% | 22/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 4/14 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/59 | 31% | 18/58 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 25/46 | 50% | 20/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 9/12 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 11/17 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 35/35 | 79% | 27/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 28/35 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Svitolina 1, Fernandez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Svitolina
π The Complete Package
Fernandez
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
The π The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs π€ Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elina Svitolina.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 7, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Mar 6, 2020
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Svitolina | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elina Svitolina | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 60% | 9/15 | 40% | 6/15 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Svitolina | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11β4 | 11β5 |
| Avg odds | 1.43 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -6.7% | +32.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | +5.15u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Svitolina | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi Β· 0 km | 3,433 mi Β· 5,525 km |
| Route | ROU | SGP β ROU β CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Svitolina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Fernandez's 70%).
| Opponent | Svitolina | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 36 60 63 | W 64 36 63 |
| Ann Li | W 62 63 | W 63 62 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 64 75 | W 76 64 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 16 64 62 | L 75 46 67 |
| Mirra Andreeva | W 62 64 | W 62 75 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 26 46 | L 61 46 36 |
| Tereza Valentova | W 36 76 60 | W 60 57 63 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 36 46 | L 26 67 |
| Polina Kudermetova | W 76 64 | W 62 61 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 36 63 62 | W 57 75 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing Β· Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Ann Li
China Open - Beijing Β· 4th Round
Oct 7
Maria Sakkari
China Open - Beijing Β· 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katerina Siniakova
China Open - Beijing Β· 2nd Round
Oct 3
Anna Kalinskaya
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 5
Maya Joint
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 3
Solana Sierra
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Tereza Valentova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 17
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan Β· 1st Round
Oct 12
Kamilla Rakhimova
China Open - Beijing Β· 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore Β· Final
Sep 27
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore Β· Semifinals
Sep 26
Mirra Andreeva
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Alycia Parks
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore Β· 2nd Round
Sep 23
Kyoka Okamura
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore Β· 1st Round
Sep 21
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 58β59 matches
| Metric | Svitolina | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 76% | 55% |
| Sets won | 68% | 54% |
| Games won | 57% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Svitolina | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Svitolina | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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