Elina Avanesyan vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇲Elina Avanesyan
#145 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
4w1 meeting · sets 0–2
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#20 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
6wElina Avanesyan and Madison Keys have met 1 time since 2025; Madison Keys leads 1–0. Across all meetings Avanesyan has taken 0 sets to Keys's 2. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Miami Open - Miami (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Avanesyan | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elina Avanesyan | Madison Keys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 23/32 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 14/50 | 36% | 18/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 17/33 | 57% | 23/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 28/29 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 23/29 | 78% | 25/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Avanesyan 0, Keys 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Avanesyan
⚔️ The Gladiator
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,929 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Madison Keys.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 21, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Avanesyan | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elina Avanesyan | Madison Keys | ||
| 1 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Avanesyan | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–3 | 6–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.83 | 1.40 |
| ROI % | +0.9% | -24.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.06u | -2.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Avanesyan | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | BRA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Avanesyan's 25%).
| Opponent | Avanesyan | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Anna Bondar | L 67 64 67 | W 57 64 76 |
| Petra Marcinko | L 67 67 | W |
| Fiona Ferro | L 76 06 36 | W 64 62 |
| Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah | W 63 63 | W 64 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alina Charaeva
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Julia Riera
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 15
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Anna Bondar
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Semifinals
Jul 25
Yulia Putintseva
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Arantxa Rus
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 21
Varvara Lepchenko
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 20
Dalila Jakupovic
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 19
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Anna Bondar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alina Korneeva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–50 matches
| Metric | Avanesyan | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 68% |
| Sets won | 61% | 65% |
| Games won | 54% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Avanesyan | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Avanesyan | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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