Elias Ymer vs Lorenzo SonegoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Elias Ymer and Lorenzo Sonego have met 4 times since 2018; Lorenzo Sonego leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Orleans in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Sonego leads 2–1. Sonego has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Ymer has taken 2 sets to Sonego's 6. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Sonego won at Davis Cup, Group A, Bologna (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ymer | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elias Ymer | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 15/28 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 10/26 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 23/54 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 9/21 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 16/30 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 16/28 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 24/28 | 67% | 12/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 15/28 | 50% | 9/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ymer 1, Sonego 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ymer
💥 Big Hitter
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 17, 2023
Davis Cup, Group A, Bologna
H Hard · Rubber 2
Apr 19, 2022
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 16, 2018
Brest
H Hard · Round of 16
Sep 17, 2018
Orleans
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ymer | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elias Ymer | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ymer | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–9 | 4–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.40 | 2.57 |
| ROI % | -55.8% | -42.4% |
| Units P/L | -7.25u | -5.09u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ymer | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Ymer and Sonego posted a 25% win rate.
| Opponent | Ymer | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Mattia Bellucci | L 64 57 67 | L 46 61 57 |
| Pierre-Hugues Herbert | L 46 63 36 | W 76 46 63 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 26 63 76 | L 46 46 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 46 36 | L 76 06 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mattia Bellucci
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Federico Cina
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Terence Atmane
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexis Galarneau
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Guangzhou Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Luca Castelnuovo
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Semen Pankin
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Pavel Kotov
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Aziz Dougaz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Kamil Majchrzak
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
James Duckworth
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–55 matches
| Metric | Ymer | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 43% |
| Sets won | 50% | 45% |
| Games won | 49% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ymer | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ymer | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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