Elias Ymer vs Lorenzo SonegoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Elias Ymer and Lorenzo Sonego have met 4 times since 2018; Lorenzo Sonego leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Orleans in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Sonego leads 2–1. Sonego has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Ymer has taken 2 sets to Sonego's 6. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Sonego won at Davis Cup, Group A, Bologna (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ymer | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elias Ymer | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 12/21 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 8/23 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 17/44 | 36% | 13/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 6/16 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 54% | 14/26 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 13/20 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 19/20 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 12/20 | 53% | 9/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ymer 1, Sonego 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ymer
🎯 Baseliner
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 17, 2023
Davis Cup, Group A, Bologna
H Hard · Rubber 2
Apr 19, 2022
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 16, 2018
Brest
H Hard · Round of 16
Sep 17, 2018
Orleans
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ymer | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elias Ymer | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ymer | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.28 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | -15.0% | -18.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.65u | -2.92u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ymer | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,463 mi · 2,354 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | USA → JAM | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sonego has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Ymer's 20%).
| Opponent | Ymer | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Pierre-Hugues Herbert | L 46 63 36 | W 76 46 63 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 26 63 76 | L 46 46 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 46 36 | L 76 06 36 |
| Arthur Fery | L 26 57 | W 64 62 |
| Dusan Lajovic | L 67 76 16 | L 36 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniil Glinka
Kingston 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Paul Jubb
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 17
Federico Cina
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Timofey Skatov
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Henry Searle
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Ugo Humbert
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 8
Niels Visker
Libema Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 7
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Juncheng Shang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Joel Schwaerzler
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–45 matches
| Metric | Ymer | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 47% |
| Sets won | 47% | 46% |
| Games won | 48% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ymer | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ymer | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.

