Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel CerundoloPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Elias Ymer and Juan Manuel Cerundolo have met 1 time since 2023; Juan Manuel Cerundolo leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ymer has taken 1 sets to Cerundolo's 2. Their most recent meeting: Juan Manuel Cerundolo won at Salzburg Challenger (2023).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm
- Level
- ATP 250
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- November 8 · 10:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 3.44 or longer, Elias Ymer has won 8 of 32 (25%). That is level with the 23% the price implied.
At 1.31 or shorter, Juan Manuel Cerundolo has won 26 of 29 (90%). The price implied 77%, so Juan Manuel Cerundolo has beaten it by 13 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo meets Elias Ymer in the 1st Round of the BNP Paribas Nordic Open in Stockholm on November 8, playing on hard court. Cerundolo, ranked 54th, arrives after five matches in 14 days and holds a 1-0 head-to-head record against Ymer. Ymer comes in ranked 245th and has not played since a loss 12 days ago.
Cerundolo has won three of his last five matches but sits at an even 50% on hard courts overall. Ymer is winless in his last five and has taken only 3 of 10 recent matches, with a 25% hard court record in the sample. The two players have faced four common opponents in recent competition; Cerundolo defeated all of them while Ymer lost to each.
Cerundolo relies on his serve to control points and maintain rhythm. Ymer favors aggressive groundstrokes and looks to dictate from the baseline when given the chance. The match will test whether Cerundolo's serving consistency and recent activity can withstand Ymer's power if the Swede finds his timing after the layoff.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ymer | Manuel Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elias Ymer | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 13/23 | 61% | 22/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 9/26 | 33% | 8/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 19/49 | 37% | 22/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 8/18 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 13/28 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 20/25 | 88% | 29/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 13/25 | 67% | 22/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ymer 0, Manuel Cerundolo 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ymer
💥 Big Hitter
Cerundolo
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,696 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 14, 2023
Salzburg Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ymer | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elias Ymer | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 84% | 16/19 |
| 5 or more | 69% | 11/16 | 68% | 13/19 |
| 10 or more | 19% | 3/16 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 5% | 1/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ymer | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–10 | 8–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.43 | 2.84 |
| ROI % | -58.9% | -9.8% |
| Units P/L | -8.25u | -1.67u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ymer | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 5 |
| Events | 1 | 5 |
| Matches | 0 | 8 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 7,085 mi · 11,402 km |
| Route | SWE | CHN → BEL → SUI → FRA → SWE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Ymer's 14%).
| Opponent | Ymer | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Yi Zhou | L 61 67 46 | W 64 63 |
| Nicolas Mejia | W 64 64 | W 64 64 |
| Federico Cina | L 63 36 46 | W 67 64 63 |
| Cristian Garin | L 26 67 | L 67 57 |
| Arthur Fery | L 26 57 | W 62 76 |
| Martin Damm | L 36 57 | W 62 62 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 36 46 | L 36 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yi Zhou
Ningboo Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 27
James McCabe
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 19
Mattia Bellucci
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 13
Mattia Bellucci
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Federico Cina
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Terence Atmane
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexis Galarneau
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Guangzhou Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Casper Ruud
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris · 1st Round
Nov 2
Miomir Kecmanovic
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris · 3rd Round Qualifying
Nov 1
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 31
Daniel Altmaier
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel · 1st Round
Oct 26
Daniel Altmaier
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 25
Zachary Svajda
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 24
Mariano Navone
European Open - Brussels · 1st Round
Oct 20
Carlos Alcaraz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–67 matches
| Metric | Ymer | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 58% |
| Sets won | 46% | 54% |
| Games won | 48% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ymer | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ymer | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |