Donna Vekic vs Maria SakkariPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ญ๐ทDonna Vekic
#36 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
9 meetings ยท sets 12โ7

๐ฌ๐ทMaria Sakkari
#35 ยท 30 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Donna Vekic and Maria Sakkari have met 9 times since 2017; Donna Vekic leads 6โ3. Their first meeting came at Nottingham in 2017 on grass. On hard courts Vekic leads 4โ2. On grass courts Vekic leads 2โ0. Across all meetings Vekic has taken 12 sets to Sakkari's 7. Their most recent meeting: Donna Vekic won at Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey (2025).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Wuhan Open - Wuhan
- Level
- WTA 1000
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 12 ยท 3:30 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.52 or shorter, Maria Sakkari has won 95 of 152 (63%). The price implied 68%, so Maria Sakkari has fallen 5 points short of it.
At 2.52 or longer, Donna Vekic has won 18 of 65 (28%). The price implied 32%, so Donna Vekic has fallen 4 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Donna Vekic and Maria Sakkari meet in the 1st Round of the Wuhan Open on October 12, 2026, on hard court. The pair are ranked 36th and 35th respectively, and this marks their 11th career meeting. Both players arrive in Wuhan having competed twice in the past 14 days, with seven days since their last match.
Vekic leads the head-to-head 7-3 despite recent struggles. She has won only two of her last ten matches and dropped her most recent outing. Sakkari has fared better in the same window, winning five of her last ten, though she also lost her latest contest. On hard courts, Sakkari has posted a 11-9 record while Vekic stands at 8-12.
Both players rely on a strong serve and flat, powerful baseline strokes. Vekic's hard-court record of 40% reflects inconsistency on the surface, while Maria Sakkari's 55% shows more reliability in converting opportunities. The match will demand that Vekic stabilize her service games and maintain depth; Sakkari will need to sustain the steadier form she has built over her last ten matches.
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Vekic | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Donna Vekic | Maria Sakkari | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 22/29 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 11/22 | 32% | 7/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 18/51 | 33% | 15/46 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 17/34 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 76% | 13/17 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 6/12 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 27/37 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 22/37 | 64% | 16/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 8 of 9 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Vekic 5, Sakkari 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Vekic
๐ค Servebot
Sakkari
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Donna Vekic and Maria Sakkari are ๐ค Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,080 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
9 career meetings, newest first
Aug 18, 2025
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Apr 25, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Jun 24, 2023
bett1open - Berlin
G Grass ยท Semifinals
Feb 10, 2023
Upper Austria Ladies Linz - Linz
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 11, 2022
San Diego Open - San Diego
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Jan 15, 2020
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3, 2018
Beijing
H Hard ยท Round of 64
Mar 6, 2018
Indian Wells
H Hard ยท Round of 128
Jun 16, 2017
Nottingham
G Grass ยท Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Vekic | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Donna Vekic | Maria Sakkari | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 5 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 50% | 7/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Vekic | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2โ6 | 8โ6 |
| Avg odds | 2.61 | 2.17 |
| ROI % | -56.3% | -19.2% |
| Units P/L | -4.50u | -2.69u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Vekic | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | 3,433 mi ยท 5,525 km | 3,433 mi ยท 5,525 km |
| Route | SGP โ ROU โ CZE | SGP โ ROU โ CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Vekic and Sakkari posted a 43% win rate.
| Opponent | Vekic | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | L 64 67 26 | L 64 16 16 |
| Talia Gibson | W 62 46 63 | L 16 64 26 |
| Emma Raducanu | W 60 76 | W 63 36 61 |
| Karolina Pliskova | W 64 46 63 | L 46 67 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 67 46 | W 64 62 |
| Leolia Jeanjean | L 36 63 46 | W 64 62 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 64 36 06 | L 06 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 5
Lin Zhu
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Xin Yu Wang
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท 1st Round
Sep 22
Ann Li
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Talia Gibson
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 30
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท 1st Round
Aug 25
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 4
Elina Svitolina
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 5
Storm Hunter
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Nao Hibino
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท 2nd Round
Sep 24
Linda Fruhvirtova
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท 1st Round
Sep 22
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 4
Robin Montgomery
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 46โ51 matches
| Metric | Vekic | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 52% |
| Sets won | 57% | 51% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Vekic | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 3 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 2 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Vekic | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 2 | 0 |