Donna Vekic vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇭🇷Donna Vekic
#36 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
6 meetings · sets 3–11
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#20 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
6wDonna Vekic and Madison Keys have met 6 times since 2016; Madison Keys leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Roland Garros in 2016 on clay. On clay courts Keys leads 4–0. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Keys has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Vekic has taken 3 sets to Keys's 11. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Vekic | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Donna Vekic | Madison Keys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 22/29 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 11/22 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 18/51 | 36% | 18/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 17/34 | 57% | 23/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 76% | 13/17 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 6/12 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 27/37 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 22/37 | 78% | 25/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Vekic 0, Keys 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Vekic
🤖 Servebot
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Apr 1, 2026
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 29, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 4th Round
Mar 12, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Aug 7, 2019
Toronto
H Hard · Round of 64
May 16, 2018
Rome
C Clay · Round of 32
May 24, 2016
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Vekic | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Donna Vekic | Madison Keys | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Vekic | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–6 | 6–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.61 | 1.40 |
| ROI % | -56.3% | -24.8% |
| Units P/L | -4.50u | -2.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Vekic | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km | — |
| Route | SGP → ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Vekic's 50%).
| Opponent | Vekic | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | L 64 67 26 | L 16 26 |
| Talia Gibson | W 62 46 63 | W 64 64 |
| Diane Parry | L 76 46 16 | L |
| Ashlyn Krueger | L 63 67 46 | W 61 75 |
| Petra Marcinko | W 63 64 | W |
| Jessica Pegula | L 64 26 36 | L 67 67 |
| Karolina Pliskova | W 64 46 63 | W 63 63 |
| Tereza Valentova | W 76 76 | W 64 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Lin Zhu
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Xin Yu Wang
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 22
Ann Li
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Talia Gibson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Anna Bondar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alina Korneeva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–51 matches
| Metric | Vekic | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 68% |
| Sets won | 57% | 65% |
| Games won | 53% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Vekic | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Vekic | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 4 |
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