Donna Vekic vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇭🇷Donna Vekic
#36 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
446 meetings · sets 3–11
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#23 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
Donna Vekic and Madison Keys have met 6 times since 2016; Madison Keys leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Roland Garros in 2016 on clay. On clay courts Keys leads 4–0. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Keys has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Vekic has taken 3 sets to Keys's 11. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Vekic | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Donna Vekic | Madison Keys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 82% | 18/22 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 11/40 | 34% | 16/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 59% | 22/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 10/14 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 5/9 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 21/28 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 18/28 | 80% | 24/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Vekic 0, Keys 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Vekic
💥 Big Hitter
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Donna Vekic and Madison Keys are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Apr 1, 2026
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 29, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 4th Round
Mar 12, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Aug 7, 2019
Toronto
H Hard · Round of 64
May 16, 2018
Rome
C Clay · Round of 32
May 24, 2016
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Vekic | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Donna Vekic | Madison Keys | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 68% | 13/19 |
| 5 or more | 60% | 6/10 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Vekic | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 13–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.77 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | -7.8% | -10.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.93u | -1.95u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Vekic | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,709 mi · 2,751 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → AUT | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Vekic's 33%).
| Opponent | Vekic | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Diane Parry | L 76 46 16 | W 64 63 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | L 63 67 46 | W 61 75 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 64 26 36 | L 67 67 |
| Karolina Pliskova | W 64 46 63 | W 63 63 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 26 26 | W 46 63 62 |
| Tereza Valentova | W 76 76 | W 64 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Ashlyn Krueger
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Alexandra Eala
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 1st Round
Jun 17
Emma Raducanu
The HSBC Championships - London · Final
Jun 14
Katie Boulter
The HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals
Jun 13
Karolina Pliskova
The HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–47 matches
| Metric | Vekic | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 68% |
| Sets won | 56% | 65% |
| Games won | 52% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Vekic | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Vekic | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 4 |
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