Dmitry Popko vs Juan Pablo VarillasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฐ๐ฟDmitry Popko
#658 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
1 meeting ยท sets 1โ2

๐ต๐ชJuan Pablo Varillas
#232 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
4w3Dmitry Popko and Juan Pablo Varillas have met 1 time since 2026; Juan Pablo Varillas leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Popko has taken 1 sets to Varillas's 2. Their most recent meeting: Juan Pablo Varillas won at Quito Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popko | Pablo Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dmitry Popko | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 15/20 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 8/17 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 13/37 | 29% | 18/63 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 7/13 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 8/11 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 6/10 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 19/21 | 89% | 34/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 15/21 | 68% | 26/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popko 0, Pablo Varillas 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popko
๐ช Counterpuncher
Varillas
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Dmitry Popko and Juan Pablo Varillas are ๐ช Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,818 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 29, 2026
Quito Challenger
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Popko | Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dmitry Popko | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| 1 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 69% | 11/16 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Popko | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7โ6 | 5โ2 |
| Avg odds | 1.78 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | -18.1% | +49.5% |
| Units P/L | -2.36u | +3.47u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Popko | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 1 |
| Distance | โ | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | SRB | SMR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Varillas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Popko's 50%).
| Opponent | Popko | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Mukkesh Sabaresh Vijay Shankar | W 61 60 | W 63 61 |
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | L 36 64 57 | W 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kristijan Juhas
M15 Kursumlijska Banja ยท Semifinals
Aug 29
Stefano D'Agostino
M15 Kursumlijska Banja ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Edouard Villoslada
M15 Kursumlijska Banja ยท 1st Round
Aug 26
Kristijan Juhas
M15 Kursumlijska Banja ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Egor Khotchenkov
M15 Kursumlijska Banja ยท 2nd Round
Aug 20
Mukkesh Sabaresh Vijay Shankar
M15 Kursumlijska Banja ยท 1st Round
Aug 19
Mukkesh Sabaresh Vijay Shankar
M15 Kursumlijska Banja ยท 1st Round
Aug 19
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Bogota Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 7
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Timofey Skatov
San Marino Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Maestrelli
San Marino Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jacopo Vasami
San Marino Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger ยท Semifinals
Jul 11
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Bogota Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Luis Carlos Alvarez
Bogota Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 8
Bruno Fernandez
Bogota Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 37โ63 matches
| Metric | Popko | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 57% |
| Sets won | 55% | 56% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popko | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popko | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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